OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with a limited preview for trusted partners and enterprise users in its Daybreak cybersecurity program, followed by broader rollout to paid ChatGPT plans and the API in the following days. This confirmed timeline, after earlier safety-related delays from a July incident, drove near-certain trader consensus on the August 31–September 6 window. The model’s advanced computer-use capabilities, benchmark results, and statements from leadership about entering an “AGI era” reinforced the timing. A realistic challenge could arise only if the market defines “release” strictly as full public availability rather than the initial launch, or if unforeseen regulatory holds alter the phased rollout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich week will OpenAI release Astra?
Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
August 31–September 6 100.0%
Before August 31 <1%
September 7–13 <1%
September 14–20 <1%
$123,612 Wol.
$123,612 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Before August 31
No
August 31–September 6
Yes
September 7–13
No
September 14–20
No
September 21–27
No
September 28–October 4
No
October 5–11
No
October 12–18
No
October 19–25
No
October 26–November 1
No
Not released by November 1
No
August 31–September 6 100.0%
Before August 31 <1%
September 7–13 <1%
September 14–20 <1%
$123,612 Wol.
$123,612 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Before August 31
$184 Wol.
No
August 31–September 6
$79,426 Wol.
Yes
September 7–13
$9,898 Wol.
No
September 14–20
$12,851 Wol.
No
September 21–27
$8,015 Wol.
No
September 28–October 4
$3,021 Wol.
No
October 5–11
$2,495 Wol.
No
October 12–18
$1,992 Wol.
No
October 19–25
$1,400 Wol.
No
October 26–November 1
$1,936 Wol.
No
Not released by November 1
$2,396 Wol.
No
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with a limited preview for trusted partners and enterprise users in its Daybreak cybersecurity program, followed by broader rollout to paid ChatGPT plans and the API in the following days. This confirmed timeline, after earlier safety-related delays from a July incident, drove near-certain trader consensus on the August 31–September 6 window. The model’s advanced computer-use capabilities, benchmark results, and statements from leadership about entering an “AGI era” reinforced the timing. A realistic challenge could arise only if the market defines “release” strictly as full public availability rather than the initial launch, or if unforeseen regulatory holds alter the phased rollout.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$123,612Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 4:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with a limited preview for trusted partners and enterprise users in its Daybreak cybersecurity program, followed by broader rollout to paid ChatGPT plans and the API in the following days. This confirmed timeline, after earlier safety-related delays from a July incident, drove near-certain trader consensus on the August 31–September 6 window. The model’s advanced computer-use capabilities, benchmark results, and statements from leadership about entering an “AGI era” reinforced the timing. A realistic challenge could arise only if the market defines “release” strictly as full public availability rather than the initial launch, or if unforeseen regulatory holds alter the phased rollout.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$123,612Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 4:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched on September 3 with a limited preview for trusted partners and enterprise users in its Daybreak cybersecurity program, followed by broader rollout to paid ChatGPT plans and the API in the following days. This confirmed timeline, after earlier safety-related delays from a July incident, drove near-certain trader consensus on the August 31–September 6 window. The model’s advanced computer-use capabilities, benchmark results, and statements from leadership about entering an “AGI era” reinforced the timing. A realistic challenge could arise only if the market defines “release” strictly as full public availability rather than the initial launch, or if unforeseen regulatory holds alter the phased rollout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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