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Geopolityka·Izrael X Iran

Które kraje podejmą działania zbrojne przeciwko Iranowi do 30 kwietnia?

icon for Które kraje podejmą działania zbrojne przeciwko Iranowi do 30 kwietnia?
Geopolityka·Izrael X Iran

Które kraje podejmą działania zbrojne przeciwko Iranowi do 30 kwietnia?

Ended: Apr 30

Ended: Apr 30

$3,651,056 Wol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$3,651,056 Wol.

Polymarket

Wielka Brytania

$280,515 Wol.

Nie

Jordania

$34,668 Wol.

Nie

Kanada

$46,477 Wol.

Nie

Katar

$56,438 Wol.

Nie

Arabia Saudyjska

$604,280 Wol.

Nie

Kuwejt

$168,726 Wol.

Nie

ZEA

$1,848,712 Wol.

Nie

Francja

$211,561 Wol.

Nie

Turcja

$88,956 Wol.

Nie

Niemcy

$133,140 Wol.

Nie

Bahrajn

$57,368 Wol.

Nie

Oman

$33,086 Wol.

Nie

Dowolny kraj UE

$87,130 Wol.

Nie

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$3,651,056
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Wynik zaproponowany: Nie

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Nie

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$3,651,056
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Wynik zaproponowany: Nie

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Nie

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Które kraje podejmą działania zbrojne przeciwko Iranowi do 30 kwietnia?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 13 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Wielka Brytania" z 0%, za nim "Jordania" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 0¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 0% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

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Aby handlować na "Które kraje podejmą działania zbrojne przeciwko Iranowi do 30 kwietnia?", przeglądaj 13 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "Które kraje podejmą działania zbrojne przeciwko Iranowi do 30 kwietnia?" jest "Wielka Brytania" z zaledwie 0%, a za nim "Jordania" z 0%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.

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