Anthropic holds an 88.5% implied probability as the leader on LiveBench Mathematics at end-September, reflecting trader consensus around its Claude models' recent edge in rigorous mathematical reasoning and competition-style problem solving. OpenAI sits at 9.5% despite its early-September announcement solving the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem, underscoring how LiveBench's contamination-resistant questions and frequent updates create a high bar that favors demonstrated benchmark consistency over isolated breakthroughs. Dozens of other labs, including Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google, trade near 0.1% or in clustered 50% ranges because new model releases or fine-tunes could still shift the Mathematics category before the September 30 snapshot. With resolution just weeks away, any late capability gains or leaderboard refreshes remain the key swing factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
Anthropic 89%
OpenAI 10%
DeepSeek <1%
Meta <1%
$50,337 Wol.
$50,337 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
89%
OpenAI
10%
DeepSeek
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 89%
OpenAI 10%
DeepSeek <1%
Meta <1%
$50,337 Wol.
$50,337 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$16,187 Wol.
89%
OpenAI
$15,326 Wol.
10%
DeepSeek
$3,239 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$659 Wol.
<1%
$1,550 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$807 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,070 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$689 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$848 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$574 Wol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$903 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$803 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$864 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$926 Wol.
<1%
Thinky
$768 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$748 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$682 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$657 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$934 Wol.
<1%
StepFun
$686 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,416 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds an 88.5% implied probability as the leader on LiveBench Mathematics at end-September, reflecting trader consensus around its Claude models' recent edge in rigorous mathematical reasoning and competition-style problem solving. OpenAI sits at 9.5% despite its early-September announcement solving the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem, underscoring how LiveBench's contamination-resistant questions and frequent updates create a high bar that favors demonstrated benchmark consistency over isolated breakthroughs. Dozens of other labs, including Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google, trade near 0.1% or in clustered 50% ranges because new model releases or fine-tunes could still shift the Mathematics category before the September 30 snapshot. With resolution just weeks away, any late capability gains or leaderboard refreshes remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,337Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds an 88.5% implied probability as the leader on LiveBench Mathematics at end-September, reflecting trader consensus around its Claude models' recent edge in rigorous mathematical reasoning and competition-style problem solving. OpenAI sits at 9.5% despite its early-September announcement solving the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem, underscoring how LiveBench's contamination-resistant questions and frequent updates create a high bar that favors demonstrated benchmark consistency over isolated breakthroughs. Dozens of other labs, including Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google, trade near 0.1% or in clustered 50% ranges because new model releases or fine-tunes could still shift the Mathematics category before the September 30 snapshot. With resolution just weeks away, any late capability gains or leaderboard refreshes remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Wolumen
$50,337Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds an 88.5% implied probability as the leader on LiveBench Mathematics at end-September, reflecting trader consensus around its Claude models' recent edge in rigorous mathematical reasoning and competition-style problem solving. OpenAI sits at 9.5% despite its early-September announcement solving the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize problem, underscoring how LiveBench's contamination-resistant questions and frequent updates create a high bar that favors demonstrated benchmark consistency over isolated breakthroughs. Dozens of other labs, including Moonshot, DeepSeek, and Google, trade near 0.1% or in clustered 50% ranges because new model releases or fine-tunes could still shift the Mathematics category before the September 30 snapshot. With resolution just weeks away, any late capability gains or leaderboard refreshes remain the key swing factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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