Anthropic holds the highest market-implied odds at 64% for topping LiveBench Mathematics by end of October, driven by recent Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5.1 releases that demonstrate strong formal reasoning and proof-generation capabilities on competition-level problems. Traders are pricing in Anthropic's edge from documented advances in theorem formalization and consistent high scores on math-heavy evaluations, where its models have recently outperformed rivals in targeted benchmarks. OpenAI follows at 35.5% amid strong o3 and GPT-5 series results on AIME and MATH-500, though recent reports of overlapping research approaches have introduced some uncertainty. Lower odds for Google, DeepSeek, Moonshot, and others reflect fewer confirmed near-term updates or benchmark leads in the Mathematics category. Key catalysts include any October model drops or LiveBench refreshes that could shift category leadership before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.7%
MiniMax <1%
$21,620 Wol.
$21,620 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
64%
OpenAI
36%
3%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.7%
MiniMax <1%
$21,620 Wol.
$21,620 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$5,372 Wol.
64%
OpenAI
$6,430 Wol.
36%
$1,473 Wol.
3%
MiniMax
$488 Wol.
1%
Mistral
$518 Wol.
1%
Meta
$501 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$475 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$286 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$390 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$858 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 Wol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$518 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$479 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$586 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$454 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$386 Wol.
<1%
Thinky
$562 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$283 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$339 Wol.
<1%
StepFun
$459 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$509 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the highest market-implied odds at 64% for topping LiveBench Mathematics by end of October, driven by recent Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5.1 releases that demonstrate strong formal reasoning and proof-generation capabilities on competition-level problems. Traders are pricing in Anthropic's edge from documented advances in theorem formalization and consistent high scores on math-heavy evaluations, where its models have recently outperformed rivals in targeted benchmarks. OpenAI follows at 35.5% amid strong o3 and GPT-5 series results on AIME and MATH-500, though recent reports of overlapping research approaches have introduced some uncertainty. Lower odds for Google, DeepSeek, Moonshot, and others reflect fewer confirmed near-term updates or benchmark leads in the Mathematics category. Key catalysts include any October model drops or LiveBench refreshes that could shift category leadership before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$21,620Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the highest market-implied odds at 64% for topping LiveBench Mathematics by end of October, driven by recent Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5.1 releases that demonstrate strong formal reasoning and proof-generation capabilities on competition-level problems. Traders are pricing in Anthropic's edge from documented advances in theorem formalization and consistent high scores on math-heavy evaluations, where its models have recently outperformed rivals in targeted benchmarks. OpenAI follows at 35.5% amid strong o3 and GPT-5 series results on AIME and MATH-500, though recent reports of overlapping research approaches have introduced some uncertainty. Lower odds for Google, DeepSeek, Moonshot, and others reflect fewer confirmed near-term updates or benchmark leads in the Mathematics category. Key catalysts include any October model drops or LiveBench refreshes that could shift category leadership before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Wolumen
$21,620Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the highest market-implied odds at 64% for topping LiveBench Mathematics by end of October, driven by recent Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5.1 releases that demonstrate strong formal reasoning and proof-generation capabilities on competition-level problems. Traders are pricing in Anthropic's edge from documented advances in theorem formalization and consistent high scores on math-heavy evaluations, where its models have recently outperformed rivals in targeted benchmarks. OpenAI follows at 35.5% amid strong o3 and GPT-5 series results on AIME and MATH-500, though recent reports of overlapping research approaches have introduced some uncertainty. Lower odds for Google, DeepSeek, Moonshot, and others reflect fewer confirmed near-term updates or benchmark leads in the Mathematics category. Key catalysts include any October model drops or LiveBench refreshes that could shift category leadership before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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