**Strong summer momentum from tentpole hits like Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $923M domestic) and The Odyssey (~$589M) has propelled 2026’s year-to-date totals well ahead of recent post-pandemic years, with the season shattering the all-time domestic summer record at $4.76B.** This performance, fueled by consistent $1B+ months and broad audience recovery, places the full-year haul on track for roughly $9–10B or more depending on fall and holiday releases such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Part Three. Trader consensus at 65.5% for a 10th–12th all-time ranking reflects this solid but not pre-pandemic level outcome: 2026 trails inflation-adjusted peaks from 2016–2019 (often $11B+) yet outperforms 2023–2025 results around $8.5–9B. Lower-probability outcomes for top-6 or bottom-15 finishes hinge on whether late-year blockbusters exceed or fall short of expectations amid typical seasonal softening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
10th-12th 66%
6th or higher 18%
7th-9th 10%
Below 15th 5.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
18%
7th-9th
10%
10th-12th
66%
13th-15th
5%
Below 15th
5%
10th-12th 66%
6th or higher 18%
7th-9th 10%
Below 15th 5.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
$5,715 Wol.
18%
7th-9th
$769 Wol.
10%
10th-12th
$2,235 Wol.
66%
13th-15th
$289 Wol.
5%
Below 15th
$286 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer momentum from tentpole hits like Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $923M domestic) and The Odyssey (~$589M) has propelled 2026’s year-to-date totals well ahead of recent post-pandemic years, with the season shattering the all-time domestic summer record at $4.76B.**
This performance, fueled by consistent $1B+ months and broad audience recovery, places the full-year haul on track for roughly $9–10B or more depending on fall and holiday releases such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Part Three. Trader consensus at 65.5% for a 10th–12th all-time ranking reflects this solid but not pre-pandemic level outcome: 2026 trails inflation-adjusted peaks from 2016–2019 (often $11B+) yet outperforms 2023–2025 results around $8.5–9B. Lower-probability outcomes for top-6 or bottom-15 finishes hinge on whether late-year blockbusters exceed or fall short of expectations amid typical seasonal softening.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,294Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer momentum from tentpole hits like Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $923M domestic) and The Odyssey (~$589M) has propelled 2026’s year-to-date totals well ahead of recent post-pandemic years, with the season shattering the all-time domestic summer record at $4.76B.**
This performance, fueled by consistent $1B+ months and broad audience recovery, places the full-year haul on track for roughly $9–10B or more depending on fall and holiday releases such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Part Three. Trader consensus at 65.5% for a 10th–12th all-time ranking reflects this solid but not pre-pandemic level outcome: 2026 trails inflation-adjusted peaks from 2016–2019 (often $11B+) yet outperforms 2023–2025 results around $8.5–9B. Lower-probability outcomes for top-6 or bottom-15 finishes hinge on whether late-year blockbusters exceed or fall short of expectations amid typical seasonal softening.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$9,294Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Strong summer momentum from tentpole hits like Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $923M domestic) and The Odyssey (~$589M) has propelled 2026’s year-to-date totals well ahead of recent post-pandemic years, with the season shattering the all-time domestic summer record at $4.76B.** This performance, fueled by consistent $1B+ months and broad audience recovery, places the full-year haul on track for roughly $9–10B or more depending on fall and holiday releases such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Part Three. Trader consensus at 65.5% for a 10th–12th all-time ranking reflects this solid but not pre-pandemic level outcome: 2026 trails inflation-adjusted peaks from 2016–2019 (often $11B+) yet outperforms 2023–2025 results around $8.5–9B. Lower-probability outcomes for top-6 or bottom-15 finishes hinge on whether late-year blockbusters exceed or fall short of expectations amid typical seasonal softening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania