Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model remains in extended testing following repeated delays to the anticipated 3.5 Pro release, which was teased at I/O in May 2026 but slipped from June into July and beyond as engineers incorporated tester feedback on long-horizon agentic tasks and integrated lessons from recent Flash variants. Traders see the closely matched probabilities—led by no release by November 1 at 23.5% and October 12–18 at 22.5%—reflecting uncertainty over whether Google will ship the Pro update before shifting emphasis to its more ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run. Frequent Flash iterations, including the September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash with strong coding and reasoning benchmarks, have maintained competitive positioning in the interim while the Pro timeline slips. Key near-term catalysts include any official DeepMind or Vertex AI announcements, benchmark drops on LMArena, or earnings commentary from Sundar Pichai that could clarify resolution criteria such as public API availability or specific capability thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1 24%
October 12–October 18 23%
October 26–November 1 13.2%
September 28–October 4 12.7%
$46,703 Wol.
$46,703 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
September 14–September 20
4%
September 21–September 27
7%
September 28–October 4
13%
October 5–October 11
11%
October 12–October 18
23%
October 19–October 25
10%
October 26–November 1
13%
No release by November 1
24%
No release by November 1 24%
October 12–October 18 23%
October 26–November 1 13.2%
September 28–October 4 12.7%
$46,703 Wol.
$46,703 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
September 14–September 20
$412 Wol.
4%
September 21–September 27
$549 Wol.
7%
September 28–October 4
$619 Wol.
13%
October 5–October 11
$413 Wol.
11%
October 12–October 18
$2,507 Wol.
23%
October 19–October 25
$438 Wol.
10%
October 26–November 1
$558 Wol.
13%
No release by November 1
$38,210 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model remains in extended testing following repeated delays to the anticipated 3.5 Pro release, which was teased at I/O in May 2026 but slipped from June into July and beyond as engineers incorporated tester feedback on long-horizon agentic tasks and integrated lessons from recent Flash variants. Traders see the closely matched probabilities—led by no release by November 1 at 23.5% and October 12–18 at 22.5%—reflecting uncertainty over whether Google will ship the Pro update before shifting emphasis to its more ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run. Frequent Flash iterations, including the September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash with strong coding and reasoning benchmarks, have maintained competitive positioning in the interim while the Pro timeline slips. Key near-term catalysts include any official DeepMind or Vertex AI announcements, benchmark drops on LMArena, or earnings commentary from Sundar Pichai that could clarify resolution criteria such as public API availability or specific capability thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$46,703Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model remains in extended testing following repeated delays to the anticipated 3.5 Pro release, which was teased at I/O in May 2026 but slipped from June into July and beyond as engineers incorporated tester feedback on long-horizon agentic tasks and integrated lessons from recent Flash variants. Traders see the closely matched probabilities—led by no release by November 1 at 23.5% and October 12–18 at 22.5%—reflecting uncertainty over whether Google will ship the Pro update before shifting emphasis to its more ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run. Frequent Flash iterations, including the September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash with strong coding and reasoning benchmarks, have maintained competitive positioning in the interim while the Pro timeline slips. Key near-term catalysts include any official DeepMind or Vertex AI announcements, benchmark drops on LMArena, or earnings commentary from Sundar Pichai that could clarify resolution criteria such as public API availability or specific capability thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$46,703Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model remains in extended testing following repeated delays to the anticipated 3.5 Pro release, which was teased at I/O in May 2026 but slipped from June into July and beyond as engineers incorporated tester feedback on long-horizon agentic tasks and integrated lessons from recent Flash variants. Traders see the closely matched probabilities—led by no release by November 1 at 23.5% and October 12–18 at 22.5%—reflecting uncertainty over whether Google will ship the Pro update before shifting emphasis to its more ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run. Frequent Flash iterations, including the September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash with strong coding and reasoning benchmarks, have maintained competitive positioning in the interim while the Pro timeline slips. Key near-term catalysts include any official DeepMind or Vertex AI announcements, benchmark drops on LMArena, or earnings commentary from Sundar Pichai that could clarify resolution criteria such as public API availability or specific capability thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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