Recent U.S. housing data show typical home values and median sale prices clustered in the $370,000–$410,000 range as of July–August 2026, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $372,000 and Redfin median sale prices around $408,000. Modest year-over-year gains of 1–3% reflect persistent high mortgage rates near 6.5%, elevated inventory, and subdued buyer demand amid affordability constraints, limiting upside momentum into the slower fall season. These conditions have anchored trader consensus around the <$419K outcome at 59.3% implied probability, while narrower brackets above $426K carry single-digit odds reflecting limited near-term appreciation potential before September 30 resolution. Seasonal cooling and steady but unspectacular economic releases continue to support the current pricing distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
<$419K 59.3%
$419K - $426K 27.3%
$426K - $433K 7.2%
$433K - $440K 3.5%
$78,090 Wol.
$78,090 Wol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$419K
59%
$419K - $426K
27%
$426K - $433K
7%
$433K - $440K
4%
$440K - $447K
1%
$447K - $454K
1%
$454K+
<1%
<$419K 59.3%
$419K - $426K 27.3%
$426K - $433K 7.2%
$433K - $440K 3.5%
$78,090 Wol.
$78,090 Wol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$419K
$24,631 Wol.
59%
$419K - $426K
$15,441 Wol.
27%
$426K - $433K
$10,596 Wol.
7%
$433K - $440K
$17,117 Wol.
4%
$440K - $447K
$5,038 Wol.
1%
$447K - $454K
$4,389 Wol.
1%
$454K+
$878 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent U.S. housing data show typical home values and median sale prices clustered in the $370,000–$410,000 range as of July–August 2026, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $372,000 and Redfin median sale prices around $408,000. Modest year-over-year gains of 1–3% reflect persistent high mortgage rates near 6.5%, elevated inventory, and subdued buyer demand amid affordability constraints, limiting upside momentum into the slower fall season. These conditions have anchored trader consensus around the <$419K outcome at 59.3% implied probability, while narrower brackets above $426K carry single-digit odds reflecting limited near-term appreciation potential before September 30 resolution. Seasonal cooling and steady but unspectacular economic releases continue to support the current pricing distribution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$78,090Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent U.S. housing data show typical home values and median sale prices clustered in the $370,000–$410,000 range as of July–August 2026, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $372,000 and Redfin median sale prices around $408,000. Modest year-over-year gains of 1–3% reflect persistent high mortgage rates near 6.5%, elevated inventory, and subdued buyer demand amid affordability constraints, limiting upside momentum into the slower fall season. These conditions have anchored trader consensus around the <$419K outcome at 59.3% implied probability, while narrower brackets above $426K carry single-digit odds reflecting limited near-term appreciation potential before September 30 resolution. Seasonal cooling and steady but unspectacular economic releases continue to support the current pricing distribution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Wolumen
$78,090Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. housing data show typical home values and median sale prices clustered in the $370,000–$410,000 range as of July–August 2026, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $372,000 and Redfin median sale prices around $408,000. Modest year-over-year gains of 1–3% reflect persistent high mortgage rates near 6.5%, elevated inventory, and subdued buyer demand amid affordability constraints, limiting upside momentum into the slower fall season. These conditions have anchored trader consensus around the <$419K outcome at 59.3% implied probability, while narrower brackets above $426K carry single-digit odds reflecting limited near-term appreciation potential before September 30 resolution. Seasonal cooling and steady but unspectacular economic releases continue to support the current pricing distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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