Recent Zillow data peg the San Francisco metro typical home value at approximately $1.137 million through July 2026, with median sale prices near $1.175 million and only modest 1.2% year-over-year growth amid tight inventory and a strong seller’s market. With resolution just two weeks away, limited seasonal momentum and steady but unspectacular demand from the tech sector have anchored trader expectations around these levels. The 83.5% market-implied probability on values below $1.176 million reflects this stability, as broader economic signals including mortgage rates and constrained supply have not produced the acceleration needed to push the index into higher brackets before month-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
<$1.176M 84%
$1.176M - $1.198M 14.8%
$1.220M - $1.242M <1%
$1.198M - $1.220M <1%
$50,479 Wol.
$50,479 Wol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$1.176M
84%
$1.176M - $1.198M
15%
$1.198M - $1.220M
<1%
$1.220M - $1.242M
<1%
$1.242M - $1.264M
<1%
$1.264M - $1.284M
<1%
$1.284M+
<1%
<$1.176M 84%
$1.176M - $1.198M 14.8%
$1.220M - $1.242M <1%
$1.198M - $1.220M <1%
$50,479 Wol.
$50,479 Wol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$1.176M
$24,895 Wol.
84%
$1.176M - $1.198M
$14,822 Wol.
15%
$1.198M - $1.220M
$2,306 Wol.
<1%
$1.220M - $1.242M
$2,195 Wol.
<1%
$1.242M - $1.264M
$3,556 Wol.
<1%
$1.264M - $1.284M
$1,293 Wol.
<1%
$1.284M+
$1,411 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent Zillow data peg the San Francisco metro typical home value at approximately $1.137 million through July 2026, with median sale prices near $1.175 million and only modest 1.2% year-over-year growth amid tight inventory and a strong seller’s market. With resolution just two weeks away, limited seasonal momentum and steady but unspectacular demand from the tech sector have anchored trader expectations around these levels. The 83.5% market-implied probability on values below $1.176 million reflects this stability, as broader economic signals including mortgage rates and constrained supply have not produced the acceleration needed to push the index into higher brackets before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,479Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent Zillow data peg the San Francisco metro typical home value at approximately $1.137 million through July 2026, with median sale prices near $1.175 million and only modest 1.2% year-over-year growth amid tight inventory and a strong seller’s market. With resolution just two weeks away, limited seasonal momentum and steady but unspectacular demand from the tech sector have anchored trader expectations around these levels. The 83.5% market-implied probability on values below $1.176 million reflects this stability, as broader economic signals including mortgage rates and constrained supply have not produced the acceleration needed to push the index into higher brackets before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Wolumen
$50,479Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow data peg the San Francisco metro typical home value at approximately $1.137 million through July 2026, with median sale prices near $1.175 million and only modest 1.2% year-over-year growth amid tight inventory and a strong seller’s market. With resolution just two weeks away, limited seasonal momentum and steady but unspectacular demand from the tech sector have anchored trader expectations around these levels. The 83.5% market-implied probability on values below $1.176 million reflects this stability, as broader economic signals including mortgage rates and constrained supply have not produced the acceleration needed to push the index into higher brackets before month-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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