Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
1.173 - 1.18m 100.0%
<1.166m <1%
1.166 - 1.173m <1%
1.18 - 1.187m <1%
$7,077 Wol.
$7,077 Wol.
May 31, 2026
<1.166m
No
1.166 - 1.173m
No
1.173 - 1.18m
Yes
1.18 - 1.187m
No
1.187 - 1.194m
No
1.194 - 1.209m
No
>1.209m
No
1.173 - 1.18m 100.0%
<1.166m <1%
1.166 - 1.173m <1%
1.18 - 1.187m <1%
$7,077 Wol.
$7,077 Wol.
May 31, 2026
<1.166m
$1,113 Wol.
No
1.166 - 1.173m
$508 Wol.
No
1.173 - 1.18m
$2,725 Wol.
Yes
1.18 - 1.187m
$880 Wol.
No
1.187 - 1.194m
$636 Wol.
No
1.194 - 1.209m
$650 Wol.
No
>1.209m
$565 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,077Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Wolumen
$7,077Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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