Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and rising inventory have created a closely contested range for DC metro median home values, with the $530K-$536K bin holding a slim 38.9% market-implied edge over the $518K-$524K outcome at 36.1%. Recent Bright MLS and Zillow data through mid-2026 show modest sold-price gains in detached segments offset by longer days on market, higher price-cut shares, and flat-to-declining listing prices amid softer buyer demand tied to affordability constraints. Local factors, including federal employment trends and condo inventory buildup in core jurisdictions, add volatility that prevents either bin from pulling decisively ahead. With resolution just weeks away, traders are weighing whether seasonal stabilization or further softening in September data will tip the balance between these adjacent ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
$530K - $536K 38.9%
$518K - $524K 36.1%
$524K - $530K 17.9%
<$512K 5.6%
$54,604 Wol.
$54,604 Wol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$512K
6%
$512K - $518K
5%
$518K - $524K
36%
$524K - $530K
18%
$530K - $536K
39%
$536K - $542K
4%
$542K+
2%
$530K - $536K 38.9%
$518K - $524K 36.1%
$524K - $530K 17.9%
<$512K 5.6%
$54,604 Wol.
$54,604 Wol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$512K
$1,355 Wol.
6%
$512K - $518K
$12,682 Wol.
5%
$518K - $524K
$15,110 Wol.
36%
$524K - $530K
$5,183 Wol.
18%
$530K - $536K
$6,605 Wol.
39%
$536K - $542K
$9,170 Wol.
4%
$542K+
$4,500 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and rising inventory have created a closely contested range for DC metro median home values, with the $530K-$536K bin holding a slim 38.9% market-implied edge over the $518K-$524K outcome at 36.1%. Recent Bright MLS and Zillow data through mid-2026 show modest sold-price gains in detached segments offset by longer days on market, higher price-cut shares, and flat-to-declining listing prices amid softer buyer demand tied to affordability constraints. Local factors, including federal employment trends and condo inventory buildup in core jurisdictions, add volatility that prevents either bin from pulling decisively ahead. With resolution just weeks away, traders are weighing whether seasonal stabilization or further softening in September data will tip the balance between these adjacent ranges.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$54,604Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and rising inventory have created a closely contested range for DC metro median home values, with the $530K-$536K bin holding a slim 38.9% market-implied edge over the $518K-$524K outcome at 36.1%. Recent Bright MLS and Zillow data through mid-2026 show modest sold-price gains in detached segments offset by longer days on market, higher price-cut shares, and flat-to-declining listing prices amid softer buyer demand tied to affordability constraints. Local factors, including federal employment trends and condo inventory buildup in core jurisdictions, add volatility that prevents either bin from pulling decisively ahead. With resolution just weeks away, traders are weighing whether seasonal stabilization or further softening in September data will tip the balance between these adjacent ranges.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Wolumen
$54,604Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and rising inventory have created a closely contested range for DC metro median home values, with the $530K-$536K bin holding a slim 38.9% market-implied edge over the $518K-$524K outcome at 36.1%. Recent Bright MLS and Zillow data through mid-2026 show modest sold-price gains in detached segments offset by longer days on market, higher price-cut shares, and flat-to-declining listing prices amid softer buyer demand tied to affordability constraints. Local factors, including federal employment trends and condo inventory buildup in core jurisdictions, add volatility that prevents either bin from pulling decisively ahead. With resolution just weeks away, traders are weighing whether seasonal stabilization or further softening in September data will tip the balance between these adjacent ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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