Recent housing data through mid-2026, including Zillow’s typical home value near $833,000 and PropertyShark’s July median sale price of $907,000, reflect modest year-over-year gains amid elevated mortgage rates and mixed inventory levels. These trends support trader focus on the $636,000–$689,000 range, where the two leading outcomes hold combined implied probability above 75 percent. Seasonal slowdowns, stable but not surging transaction volumes, and limited new supply in core boroughs have kept price momentum contained near current levels. With resolution just weeks away on September 30, any final August or early September releases on sales or listings could shift the narrow gap between the top bins, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to the latest economic releases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
$663K - $689K 43.1%
$636K - $663K 29.2%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.1%
$65,435 Wol.
$65,435 Wol.
<$555K
6%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
14%
$636K - $663K
29%
$663K - $689K
43%
$689K+
3%
$663K - $689K 43.1%
$636K - $663K 29.2%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.1%
$65,435 Wol.
$65,435 Wol.
<$555K
6%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
14%
$636K - $663K
29%
$663K - $689K
43%
$689K+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data through mid-2026, including Zillow’s typical home value near $833,000 and PropertyShark’s July median sale price of $907,000, reflect modest year-over-year gains amid elevated mortgage rates and mixed inventory levels. These trends support trader focus on the $636,000–$689,000 range, where the two leading outcomes hold combined implied probability above 75 percent. Seasonal slowdowns, stable but not surging transaction volumes, and limited new supply in core boroughs have kept price momentum contained near current levels. With resolution just weeks away on September 30, any final August or early September releases on sales or listings could shift the narrow gap between the top bins, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to the latest economic releases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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