Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads trader sentiment at 53.5% implied probability, buoyed by its dominant Billboard Hot 100 run, billions of streams, and Swift’s record VMA history that positions her as the frontrunner in a fan-voted category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trails at 22% despite topping overall nominations with 11 nods, reflecting strong industry respect for the ambitious short film but less crossover commercial momentum. The crowded field—featuring Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION—creates tight 50% pricing on many outcomes, with the Sept. 27 ceremony and Sept. 25 fan-voting deadline as immediate swing factors in this closely contested race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoVMA Video of the Year 2026
VMA Video of the Year 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 54%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 22%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 21%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) <1%
$15,737 Wol.
$15,737 Wol.
Sep 27, 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
54%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
22%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
21%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
1%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
1%
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
<1%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 54%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 22%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 21%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) <1%
$15,737 Wol.
$15,737 Wol.
Sep 27, 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
$6,603 Wol.
54%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
$3,042 Wol.
22%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
$2,558 Wol.
21%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
$1,028 Wol.
1%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
$1,566 Wol.
1%
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
$940 Wol.
<1%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads trader sentiment at 53.5% implied probability, buoyed by its dominant Billboard Hot 100 run, billions of streams, and Swift’s record VMA history that positions her as the frontrunner in a fan-voted category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trails at 22% despite topping overall nominations with 11 nods, reflecting strong industry respect for the ambitious short film but less crossover commercial momentum. The crowded field—featuring Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION—creates tight 50% pricing on many outcomes, with the Sept. 27 ceremony and Sept. 25 fan-voting deadline as immediate swing factors in this closely contested race.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,737Data zakończenia
Sep 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads trader sentiment at 53.5% implied probability, buoyed by its dominant Billboard Hot 100 run, billions of streams, and Swift’s record VMA history that positions her as the frontrunner in a fan-voted category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trails at 22% despite topping overall nominations with 11 nods, reflecting strong industry respect for the ambitious short film but less crossover commercial momentum. The crowded field—featuring Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION—creates tight 50% pricing on many outcomes, with the Sept. 27 ceremony and Sept. 25 fan-voting deadline as immediate swing factors in this closely contested race.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$15,737Data zakończenia
Sep 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads trader sentiment at 53.5% implied probability, buoyed by its dominant Billboard Hot 100 run, billions of streams, and Swift’s record VMA history that positions her as the frontrunner in a fan-voted category. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trails at 22% despite topping overall nominations with 11 nods, reflecting strong industry respect for the ambitious short film but less crossover commercial momentum. The crowded field—featuring Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION—creates tight 50% pricing on many outcomes, with the Sept. 27 ceremony and Sept. 25 fan-voting deadline as immediate swing factors in this closely contested race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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