Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have hovered near $60 billion, with the March 2026 figure reaching $60.3 billion after imports rose faster than exports following the Supreme Court’s February ruling that invalidated several broad tariffs imposed in 2025. Year-to-date and trailing-twelve-month totals through early 2026 remain around $775 billion, reflecting a services surplus offset by a persistent goods gap, energy export gains tied to higher oil prices, and supply-chain adjustments. Macroeconomic drivers such as the savings-investment imbalance and federal budget position continue to anchor the deficit near recent annual levels rather than allowing sharp contraction or expansion, aligning trader consensus with the 800–900 billion band as the most probable outcome for the full calendar year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS Trade Deficit in 2026?
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
$21,015 Wol.
$21,015 Wol.
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
7%
500–600B
4%
600–700B
4%
700–800B
8%
800–900B
46%
900B–1T
38%
1T–1.1T
6%
1.1T+
5%
$21,015 Wol.
$21,015 Wol.
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
$16,638 Wol.
7%
500–600B
$413 Wol.
4%
600–700B
$435 Wol.
4%
700–800B
$456 Wol.
8%
800–900B
$1,008 Wol.
46%
900B–1T
$984 Wol.
38%
1T–1.1T
$447 Wol.
6%
1.1T+
$635 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have hovered near $60 billion, with the March 2026 figure reaching $60.3 billion after imports rose faster than exports following the Supreme Court’s February ruling that invalidated several broad tariffs imposed in 2025. Year-to-date and trailing-twelve-month totals through early 2026 remain around $775 billion, reflecting a services surplus offset by a persistent goods gap, energy export gains tied to higher oil prices, and supply-chain adjustments. Macroeconomic drivers such as the savings-investment imbalance and federal budget position continue to anchor the deficit near recent annual levels rather than allowing sharp contraction or expansion, aligning trader consensus with the 800–900 billion band as the most probable outcome for the full calendar year.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$21,015Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have hovered near $60 billion, with the March 2026 figure reaching $60.3 billion after imports rose faster than exports following the Supreme Court’s February ruling that invalidated several broad tariffs imposed in 2025. Year-to-date and trailing-twelve-month totals through early 2026 remain around $775 billion, reflecting a services surplus offset by a persistent goods gap, energy export gains tied to higher oil prices, and supply-chain adjustments. Macroeconomic drivers such as the savings-investment imbalance and federal budget position continue to anchor the deficit near recent annual levels rather than allowing sharp contraction or expansion, aligning trader consensus with the 800–900 billion band as the most probable outcome for the full calendar year.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Wolumen
$21,015Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have hovered near $60 billion, with the March 2026 figure reaching $60.3 billion after imports rose faster than exports following the Supreme Court’s February ruling that invalidated several broad tariffs imposed in 2025. Year-to-date and trailing-twelve-month totals through early 2026 remain around $775 billion, reflecting a services surplus offset by a persistent goods gap, energy export gains tied to higher oil prices, and supply-chain adjustments. Macroeconomic drivers such as the savings-investment imbalance and federal budget position continue to anchor the deficit near recent annual levels rather than allowing sharp contraction or expansion, aligning trader consensus with the 800–900 billion band as the most probable outcome for the full calendar year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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