The US revocation of Brazilian Ambassador Maria Luiza Ribeiro Viotti’s visa in early August 2026 was explicitly framed by State Department officials as a reversible diplomatic measure short of expulsion, tied to Brazil’s delay in approving the US ambassador nominee rather than a decision to remove her from the country. No subsequent actions targeted Brazilian diplomats with formal expulsion orders through the September 30 deadline, even as the US revoked visas for officials from other Latin American nations on corruption grounds and amid ongoing bilateral tensions over trade, elections, and nominations. Trader consensus at 99% “No” reflects the absence of any qualifying expulsion event within the resolution window, consistent with standard diplomatic distinctions between visa actions and physical removal. A sudden escalation in the ambassadorial standoff or unrelated incident could theoretically have shifted odds before the cutoff, though none materialized.