Jon Bonck's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff stems from his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 crowded field, far ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 19%, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Club for Growth, and House GOP leadership, plus a superior $1 million fundraising war chest in this open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. With no public polls showing a shift and early voting for the May 26 runoff starting May 18, traders see low barriers to his nomination in the solidly Republican Houston-area district. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, deZevallos turnout surge among local voters, or unexpected legal challenges before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJon Bonck 94.4%
Shelly deZevallos 1.8%
Barrett McNabb 1.1%
Larry Rubin 1.1%
$38,870 Wol.
$38,870 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Jon Bonck
94%
Shelly deZevallos
2%
Barrett McNabb
1%
Larry Rubin
1%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Michael Pratt
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Jeff Yuna
<1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
Jon Bonck 94.4%
Shelly deZevallos 1.8%
Barrett McNabb 1.1%
Larry Rubin 1.1%
$38,870 Wol.
$38,870 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Jon Bonck
$18,040 Wol.
94%
Shelly deZevallos
$3,299 Wol.
2%
Barrett McNabb
$1,688 Wol.
1%
Larry Rubin
$2,255 Wol.
1%
Jennifer Sundt
$2,476 Wol.
1%
Michael Pratt
$2,840 Wol.
1%
Craig Goralski
$1,660 Wol.
1%
Carmen Montiel
$1,583 Wol.
1%
Jeff Yuna
$2,557 Wol.
<1%
Avery Ayers
$2,470 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff stems from his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 crowded field, far ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 19%, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Club for Growth, and House GOP leadership, plus a superior $1 million fundraising war chest in this open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. With no public polls showing a shift and early voting for the May 26 runoff starting May 18, traders see low barriers to his nomination in the solidly Republican Houston-area district. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, deZevallos turnout surge among local voters, or unexpected legal challenges before election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$38,870Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff stems from his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 crowded field, far ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 19%, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Club for Growth, and House GOP leadership, plus a superior $1 million fundraising war chest in this open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. With no public polls showing a shift and early voting for the May 26 runoff starting May 18, traders see low barriers to his nomination in the solidly Republican Houston-area district. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, deZevallos turnout surge among local voters, or unexpected legal challenges before election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$38,870Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff stems from his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 crowded field, far ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 19%, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Club for Growth, and House GOP leadership, plus a superior $1 million fundraising war chest in this open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. With no public polls showing a shift and early voting for the May 26 runoff starting May 18, traders see low barriers to his nomination in the solidly Republican Houston-area district. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, deZevallos turnout surge among local voters, or unexpected legal challenges before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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