Recent polling from mid-June shows Donald Trump's approval rating fluctuating in a narrow band between 36% and 40%, with several surveys clustering near 38-39%. A modest rebound in the latest Economist/YouGov tracking—rising four points in a week to 39% approve—reflects easing public concern over living costs and diplomatic signals around Iran, though net ratings remain deeply negative. Other releases, including Reuters/Ipsos and Emerson College, place support at 36-39%, keeping the June 19 outcome tightly contested between adjacent buckets. Trader consensus reflects this polling stability, with limited room for sharp movement absent major new catalysts such as economic data releases or foreign policy breakthroughs before the measurement window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano39.0–39.4 100.0%
39.5–39.9 4.2%
<38.0 1.6%
38.0–38.4 1.0%
$16,576 Wol.
$16,576 Wol.
<38.0
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
Yes
39.5–39.9
No
40.0+
No
39.0–39.4 100.0%
39.5–39.9 4.2%
<38.0 1.6%
38.0–38.4 1.0%
$16,576 Wol.
$16,576 Wol.
<38.0
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
Yes
39.5–39.9
No
40.0+
No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent polling from mid-June shows Donald Trump's approval rating fluctuating in a narrow band between 36% and 40%, with several surveys clustering near 38-39%. A modest rebound in the latest Economist/YouGov tracking—rising four points in a week to 39% approve—reflects easing public concern over living costs and diplomatic signals around Iran, though net ratings remain deeply negative. Other releases, including Reuters/Ipsos and Emerson College, place support at 36-39%, keeping the June 19 outcome tightly contested between adjacent buckets. Trader consensus reflects this polling stability, with limited room for sharp movement absent major new catalysts such as economic data releases or foreign policy breakthroughs before the measurement window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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