Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano37.5–37.9 1.0%
38.0–38.4 1.0%
<37.0 <1%
37.0–37.4 <1%
$1,878 Wol.
$1,878 Wol.
<37.0
No
37.0–37.4
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0+
No
37.5–37.9 1.0%
38.0–38.4 1.0%
<37.0 <1%
37.0–37.4 <1%
$1,878 Wol.
$1,878 Wol.
<37.0
No
37.0–37.4
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0+
No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent polling averages from sources including Ballotpedia, CNN, and others placed Donald Trump's job approval rating near 37-39 percent as of August 7, 2026, reflecting a continued downward trend from earlier in the second term. Traders have converged on the 38.5–38.9 range as the most probable outcome because multiple late-July and early-August surveys, such as those from John Zogby Strategies and Quantus Insights, clustered in this band amid steady erosion linked to economic sentiment and foreign policy developments. This positioning aligns with the broader pattern of net approval hovering around -20 to -25 points, consistent with historical benchmarks for presidents at similar stages facing sustained disapproval above 59 percent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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