Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano38.0–38.4 100.0%
37.0–37.4 1.8%
<37.0 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$6,278 Wol.
$6,278 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
No
37.0–37.4
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
Yes
38.5–38.9
No
39.0+
No
38.0–38.4 100.0%
37.0–37.4 1.8%
<37.0 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$6,278 Wol.
$6,278 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
$1,152 Wol.
No
37.0–37.4
$674 Wol.
No
37.5–37.9
$888 Wol.
No
38.0–38.4
$1,234 Wol.
Yes
38.5–38.9
$1,261 Wol.
No
39.0+
$1,070 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,278Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$6,278Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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