Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his long tenure since 2007, strong name recognition, and establishment support in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district, despite recent polls showing a near tie. A March Justice Democrats survey of likely primary voters found Cohen at 45% to challenger Justin Pearson's 44%, reflecting Pearson's momentum from his "Tennessee Three" national profile, youth at 31, and progressive endorsements like Indivisible Memphis and Justice Democrats amid a party generational shift. A New York Times analysis on April 1 framed the race as emblematic of Democratic debates over age and change. Community activist DeVante Hill lags at under 5% with limited visibility. The August 6 primary remains competitive, with fundraising and turnout key factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Steve Cohen 57%
Justin Pearson 39%
DeVante Hill 5.2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
Steve Cohen
57%
Justin Pearson
39%
DeVante Hill
5%
Steve Cohen 57%
Justin Pearson 39%
DeVante Hill 5.2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
Steve Cohen
$4,814 Wol.
57%
Justin Pearson
$1,525 Wol.
39%
DeVante Hill
$393 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his long tenure since 2007, strong name recognition, and establishment support in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district, despite recent polls showing a near tie. A March Justice Democrats survey of likely primary voters found Cohen at 45% to challenger Justin Pearson's 44%, reflecting Pearson's momentum from his "Tennessee Three" national profile, youth at 31, and progressive endorsements like Indivisible Memphis and Justice Democrats amid a party generational shift. A New York Times analysis on April 1 framed the race as emblematic of Democratic debates over age and change. Community activist DeVante Hill lags at under 5% with limited visibility. The August 6 primary remains competitive, with fundraising and turnout key factors.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,733Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his long tenure since 2007, strong name recognition, and establishment support in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district, despite recent polls showing a near tie. A March Justice Democrats survey of likely primary voters found Cohen at 45% to challenger Justin Pearson's 44%, reflecting Pearson's momentum from his "Tennessee Three" national profile, youth at 31, and progressive endorsements like Indivisible Memphis and Justice Democrats amid a party generational shift. A New York Times analysis on April 1 framed the race as emblematic of Democratic debates over age and change. Community activist DeVante Hill lags at under 5% with limited visibility. The August 6 primary remains competitive, with fundraising and turnout key factors.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$6,733Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his long tenure since 2007, strong name recognition, and establishment support in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district, despite recent polls showing a near tie. A March Justice Democrats survey of likely primary voters found Cohen at 45% to challenger Justin Pearson's 44%, reflecting Pearson's momentum from his "Tennessee Three" national profile, youth at 31, and progressive endorsements like Indivisible Memphis and Justice Democrats amid a party generational shift. A New York Times analysis on April 1 framed the race as emblematic of Democratic debates over age and change. Community activist DeVante Hill lags at under 5% with limited visibility. The August 6 primary remains competitive, with fundraising and turnout key factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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