Recent polling averages place Sweden Democrats support near 19%, with individual surveys from early September showing results clustered between 17.7% and 20.2%. The tightening national race between the Tidö-aligned bloc and the centre-left opposition has kept SD figures stable, as the party maintains its core voter base amid campaign emphasis on immigration, crime, and security policy. Late gains by the Liberals above the 4% threshold have strengthened the right-wing side without materially boosting or eroding SD’s own share. With the election three days away, the distribution of recent data aligns trader consensus most closely with an 18-20% outcome, while a modest chance remains for a modest overshoot above 20%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
18-20% 47%
20%+ 35%
16-18% 18%
<16% 3.1%
$71,716 Wol.
$71,716 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
<16%
3%
16-18%
18%
18-20%
47%
20%+
35%
18-20% 47%
20%+ 35%
16-18% 18%
<16% 3.1%
$71,716 Wol.
$71,716 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
<16%
$7,651 Wol.
3%
16-18%
$14,033 Wol.
18%
18-20%
$19,775 Wol.
47%
20%+
$30,257 Wol.
35%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Sweden Democrats support near 19%, with individual surveys from early September showing results clustered between 17.7% and 20.2%. The tightening national race between the Tidö-aligned bloc and the centre-left opposition has kept SD figures stable, as the party maintains its core voter base amid campaign emphasis on immigration, crime, and security policy. Late gains by the Liberals above the 4% threshold have strengthened the right-wing side without materially boosting or eroding SD’s own share. With the election three days away, the distribution of recent data aligns trader consensus most closely with an 18-20% outcome, while a modest chance remains for a modest overshoot above 20%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Wolumen
$71,716Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Sweden Democrats support near 19%, with individual surveys from early September showing results clustered between 17.7% and 20.2%. The tightening national race between the Tidö-aligned bloc and the centre-left opposition has kept SD figures stable, as the party maintains its core voter base amid campaign emphasis on immigration, crime, and security policy. Late gains by the Liberals above the 4% threshold have strengthened the right-wing side without materially boosting or eroding SD’s own share. With the election three days away, the distribution of recent data aligns trader consensus most closely with an 18-20% outcome, while a modest chance remains for a modest overshoot above 20%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Wolumen
$71,716Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Sweden Democrats support near 19%, with individual surveys from early September showing results clustered between 17.7% and 20.2%. The tightening national race between the Tidö-aligned bloc and the centre-left opposition has kept SD figures stable, as the party maintains its core voter base amid campaign emphasis on immigration, crime, and security policy. Late gains by the Liberals above the 4% threshold have strengthened the right-wing side without materially boosting or eroding SD’s own share. With the election three days away, the distribution of recent data aligns trader consensus most closely with an 18-20% outcome, while a modest chance remains for a modest overshoot above 20%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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