Recent polling averages and exit surveys have placed Social Democrats support firmly in the high 20s, with the latest SVT and TV4 Valu polls showing 28.4 percent on election day. This positioning reflects sustained voter preference for the opposition bloc amid debates over public services, immigration, and economic conditions, while the governing right-wing alliance narrowed the gap in the final weeks without shifting S above 30 percent or below 27 percent in most surveys. Actual district counts released so far have remained consistent with these figures, keeping the 27-30 percent band as the clear trader consensus. Late swings in remaining precincts or adjustments in bloc turnout could still alter the precise share, though historical patterns and the narrow spread of recent data limit the likelihood of outcomes outside the leading range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano27-30% 95.6%
30-33% 3.1%
<27% <1%
33%+ <1%
$142,877 Wol.
$142,877 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
<27%
1%
27-30%
96%
30-33%
3%
33%+
<1%
27-30% 95.6%
30-33% 3.1%
<27% <1%
33%+ <1%
$142,877 Wol.
$142,877 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
<27%
$71,990 Wol.
1%
27-30%
$32,451 Wol.
96%
30-33%
$26,337 Wol.
3%
33%+
$12,100 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages and exit surveys have placed Social Democrats support firmly in the high 20s, with the latest SVT and TV4 Valu polls showing 28.4 percent on election day. This positioning reflects sustained voter preference for the opposition bloc amid debates over public services, immigration, and economic conditions, while the governing right-wing alliance narrowed the gap in the final weeks without shifting S above 30 percent or below 27 percent in most surveys. Actual district counts released so far have remained consistent with these figures, keeping the 27-30 percent band as the clear trader consensus. Late swings in remaining precincts or adjustments in bloc turnout could still alter the precise share, though historical patterns and the narrow spread of recent data limit the likelihood of outcomes outside the leading range.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
Wolumen
$142,877Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages and exit surveys have placed Social Democrats support firmly in the high 20s, with the latest SVT and TV4 Valu polls showing 28.4 percent on election day. This positioning reflects sustained voter preference for the opposition bloc amid debates over public services, immigration, and economic conditions, while the governing right-wing alliance narrowed the gap in the final weeks without shifting S above 30 percent or below 27 percent in most surveys. Actual district counts released so far have remained consistent with these figures, keeping the 27-30 percent band as the clear trader consensus. Late swings in remaining precincts or adjustments in bloc turnout could still alter the precise share, though historical patterns and the narrow spread of recent data limit the likelihood of outcomes outside the leading range.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Wolumen
$142,877Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages and exit surveys have placed Social Democrats support firmly in the high 20s, with the latest SVT and TV4 Valu polls showing 28.4 percent on election day. This positioning reflects sustained voter preference for the opposition bloc amid debates over public services, immigration, and economic conditions, while the governing right-wing alliance narrowed the gap in the final weeks without shifting S above 30 percent or below 27 percent in most surveys. Actual district counts released so far have remained consistent with these figures, keeping the 27-30 percent band as the clear trader consensus. Late swings in remaining precincts or adjustments in bloc turnout could still alter the precise share, though historical patterns and the narrow spread of recent data limit the likelihood of outcomes outside the leading range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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