Recent polling averages place Miljöpartiet support at 7.4–7.6 percent in early September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 6.5–8.8 percent, positioning the 7–9 percent band as the clearest match for current data. The party has held above its 5.1 percent 2022 result throughout the cycle, reflecting modest gains in the centre-left bloc amid stable voter preferences on climate and energy issues. Late-campaign tightening between the governing Tidö parties and the opposition has not produced sharp swings for Miljöpartiet, keeping the sub-5 percent and 9 percent-plus tails at low implied probabilities. With the September 13 election three days away, trader consensus tracks the recency-weighted poll distribution rather than historical precedent or bloc dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano7-9% 49%
5-7% 37%
9%+ 13.4%
<5% 2.9%
$28,609 Wol.
$28,609 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
3%
5-7%
37%
7-9%
49%
9%+
13%
7-9% 49%
5-7% 37%
9%+ 13.4%
<5% 2.9%
$28,609 Wol.
$28,609 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
$5,989 Wol.
3%
5-7%
$7,361 Wol.
37%
7-9%
$9,490 Wol.
49%
9%+
$5,770 Wol.
13%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Miljöpartiet support at 7.4–7.6 percent in early September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 6.5–8.8 percent, positioning the 7–9 percent band as the clearest match for current data. The party has held above its 5.1 percent 2022 result throughout the cycle, reflecting modest gains in the centre-left bloc amid stable voter preferences on climate and energy issues. Late-campaign tightening between the governing Tidö parties and the opposition has not produced sharp swings for Miljöpartiet, keeping the sub-5 percent and 9 percent-plus tails at low implied probabilities. With the September 13 election three days away, trader consensus tracks the recency-weighted poll distribution rather than historical precedent or bloc dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,609Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Miljöpartiet support at 7.4–7.6 percent in early September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 6.5–8.8 percent, positioning the 7–9 percent band as the clearest match for current data. The party has held above its 5.1 percent 2022 result throughout the cycle, reflecting modest gains in the centre-left bloc amid stable voter preferences on climate and energy issues. Late-campaign tightening between the governing Tidö parties and the opposition has not produced sharp swings for Miljöpartiet, keeping the sub-5 percent and 9 percent-plus tails at low implied probabilities. With the September 13 election three days away, trader consensus tracks the recency-weighted poll distribution rather than historical precedent or bloc dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Wolumen
$28,609Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Miljöpartiet support at 7.4–7.6 percent in early September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 6.5–8.8 percent, positioning the 7–9 percent band as the clearest match for current data. The party has held above its 5.1 percent 2022 result throughout the cycle, reflecting modest gains in the centre-left bloc amid stable voter preferences on climate and energy issues. Late-campaign tightening between the governing Tidö parties and the opposition has not produced sharp swings for Miljöpartiet, keeping the sub-5 percent and 9 percent-plus tails at low implied probabilities. With the September 13 election three days away, trader consensus tracks the recency-weighted poll distribution rather than historical precedent or bloc dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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