**Recent polling averages and exit polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support firmly in the 6–7% range ahead of and on election day, September 13, 2026.** Aggregators from multiple houses (Novus, Ipsos, Verian, Indikator Opinion, Demoskop) showed KD between 5.5% and 7.6% in the final weeks, with most late surveys clustering near or above 6%. Exit polls confirmed this positioning: Novus at 6.0% and SVT/Valu at 6.1%. **As a junior partner in the Tidö government, KD has avoided the typical erosion smaller coalition parties often face, attributed in reporting to steady emphasis on healthcare and welfare alongside leader Ebba Busch’s personal standing.** This stability, combined with the 4% parliamentary threshold dynamics and limited recent downward volatility in KD figures, underpins trader consensus that the party will finish above 6%. Official results are still being finalized, but current projections and verified polling trends leave little room for a sub-6% outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOver
94% szansa
$2,176 Wol.
$2,176 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
Over
94% szansa
$2,176 Wol.
$2,176 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent polling averages and exit polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support firmly in the 6–7% range ahead of and on election day, September 13, 2026.** Aggregators from multiple houses (Novus, Ipsos, Verian, Indikator Opinion, Demoskop) showed KD between 5.5% and 7.6% in the final weeks, with most late surveys clustering near or above 6%. Exit polls confirmed this positioning: Novus at 6.0% and SVT/Valu at 6.1%.
**As a junior partner in the Tidö government, KD has avoided the typical erosion smaller coalition parties often face, attributed in reporting to steady emphasis on healthcare and welfare alongside leader Ebba Busch’s personal standing.** This stability, combined with the 4% parliamentary threshold dynamics and limited recent downward volatility in KD figures, underpins trader consensus that the party will finish above 6%. Official results are still being finalized, but current projections and verified polling trends leave little room for a sub-6% outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,176Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent polling averages and exit polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support firmly in the 6–7% range ahead of and on election day, September 13, 2026.** Aggregators from multiple houses (Novus, Ipsos, Verian, Indikator Opinion, Demoskop) showed KD between 5.5% and 7.6% in the final weeks, with most late surveys clustering near or above 6%. Exit polls confirmed this positioning: Novus at 6.0% and SVT/Valu at 6.1%.
**As a junior partner in the Tidö government, KD has avoided the typical erosion smaller coalition parties often face, attributed in reporting to steady emphasis on healthcare and welfare alongside leader Ebba Busch’s personal standing.** This stability, combined with the 4% parliamentary threshold dynamics and limited recent downward volatility in KD figures, underpins trader consensus that the party will finish above 6%. Official results are still being finalized, but current projections and verified polling trends leave little room for a sub-6% outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Wolumen
$2,176Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Recent polling averages and exit polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support firmly in the 6–7% range ahead of and on election day, September 13, 2026.** Aggregators from multiple houses (Novus, Ipsos, Verian, Indikator Opinion, Demoskop) showed KD between 5.5% and 7.6% in the final weeks, with most late surveys clustering near or above 6%. Exit polls confirmed this positioning: Novus at 6.0% and SVT/Valu at 6.1%. **As a junior partner in the Tidö government, KD has avoided the typical erosion smaller coalition parties often face, attributed in reporting to steady emphasis on healthcare and welfare alongside leader Ebba Busch’s personal standing.** This stability, combined with the 4% parliamentary threshold dynamics and limited recent downward volatility in KD figures, underpins trader consensus that the party will finish above 6%. Official results are still being finalized, but current projections and verified polling trends leave little room for a sub-6% outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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