United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional organizational resources and a track record of securing majorities under the mixed electoral system of 25 single-member districts and 25 proportional list seats. Historical results, including its 33-seat haul in 2021, combined with registered party lists and candidate advantages, underpin trader consensus around its near-certain victory. Limited opposition momentum stems from modest polling for parties such as CPRF and New People, alongside recent disqualifications that have further constrained challengers like Yabloko. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpectedly strong coordinated opposition turnout or late procedural shifts, though these remain low-probability factors given institutional patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUnited Russia 96.1%
New People 2.6%
CPRF 1.3%
A Just Russia 1.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
96%
New People
3%
CPRF
1%
A Just Russia
1%
LDPR
1%
Yabloko
<1%
United Russia 96.1%
New People 2.6%
CPRF 1.3%
A Just Russia 1.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$498 Wol.
96%
New People
$284 Wol.
3%
CPRF
$662 Wol.
1%
A Just Russia
$499 Wol.
1%
LDPR
$579 Wol.
1%
Yabloko
$415 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional organizational resources and a track record of securing majorities under the mixed electoral system of 25 single-member districts and 25 proportional list seats. Historical results, including its 33-seat haul in 2021, combined with registered party lists and candidate advantages, underpin trader consensus around its near-certain victory. Limited opposition momentum stems from modest polling for parties such as CPRF and New People, alongside recent disqualifications that have further constrained challengers like Yabloko. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpectedly strong coordinated opposition turnout or late procedural shifts, though these remain low-probability factors given institutional patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,937Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional organizational resources and a track record of securing majorities under the mixed electoral system of 25 single-member districts and 25 proportional list seats. Historical results, including its 33-seat haul in 2021, combined with registered party lists and candidate advantages, underpin trader consensus around its near-certain victory. Limited opposition momentum stems from modest polling for parties such as CPRF and New People, alongside recent disqualifications that have further constrained challengers like Yabloko. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpectedly strong coordinated opposition turnout or late procedural shifts, though these remain low-probability factors given institutional patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Wolumen
$2,937Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional organizational resources and a track record of securing majorities under the mixed electoral system of 25 single-member districts and 25 proportional list seats. Historical results, including its 33-seat haul in 2021, combined with registered party lists and candidate advantages, underpin trader consensus around its near-certain victory. Limited opposition momentum stems from modest polling for parties such as CPRF and New People, alongside recent disqualifications that have further constrained challengers like Yabloko. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpectedly strong coordinated opposition turnout or late procedural shifts, though these remain low-probability factors given institutional patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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