SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO, priced at a fixed $135 per share for a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation under ticker SPCX, has driven the near-certain market-implied probability of a June 12 Nasdaq debut. The offering closed orders Wednesday with strong institutional demand exceeding $250 billion, including commitments from major asset managers, allowing full allocation and final regulatory clearances ahead of today's expected trading start. This timeline aligns with the confidential April filing, May S-1, and recent roadshow completion. While consensus exceeds 90 percent, slim residual risk remains around any unforeseen exchange or settlement delays on the final day, though the advanced stage and precedent of similar large deals make such disruptions improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJune 12 99.8%
June 17 <1%
June 18 <1%
June 22 <1%
$163,746 Wol.
$163,746 Wol.
June 11
<1%
June 12
100%
June 15
<1%
June 16
<1%
June 17
1%
June 18
1%
June 22
1%
June 23
<1%
June 24
1%
June 25
<1%
June 26
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30 or later
1%
June 12 99.8%
June 17 <1%
June 18 <1%
June 22 <1%
$163,746 Wol.
$163,746 Wol.
June 11
<1%
June 12
100%
June 15
<1%
June 16
<1%
June 17
1%
June 18
1%
June 22
1%
June 23
<1%
June 24
1%
June 25
<1%
June 26
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30 or later
1%
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO, priced at a fixed $135 per share for a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation under ticker SPCX, has driven the near-certain market-implied probability of a June 12 Nasdaq debut. The offering closed orders Wednesday with strong institutional demand exceeding $250 billion, including commitments from major asset managers, allowing full allocation and final regulatory clearances ahead of today's expected trading start. This timeline aligns with the confidential April filing, May S-1, and recent roadshow completion. While consensus exceeds 90 percent, slim residual risk remains around any unforeseen exchange or settlement delays on the final day, though the advanced stage and precedent of similar large deals make such disruptions improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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