Trader consensus on Polymarket prices silver's June 2026 COMEX settlement (SI) in a tight contest between $70-$80 (22.7% implied probability) and $80-$90 (22.5%), reflecting spot prices' recent surge to $80.35/oz on May 8 amid a 9% weekly rally fueled by persistent supply deficits—now in their sixth year—and surging industrial fabrication demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics, up despite a projected 2% dip to 650 Moz. Key differentiators include Federal Reserve policy signals, with markets pricing fewer rate cuts amid sticky inflation, versus bullish catalysts like escalating geopolitical tensions and a weakening U.S. dollar. Upcoming April CPI data (May 15 release) and June FOMC meeting loom as swing factors, with forecasts averaging $81/oz for 2026 per J.P. Morgan.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNa co wpłynie Silver (SI) w czerwcu?
Na co wpłynie Silver (SI) w czerwcu?
70-80 USD 22.7%
80-90 dolarów 23%
$60-$70 16.2%
90-100 USD 14%
$525,927 Wol.
$525,927 Wol.
<50 USD
3%
50-60 USD
5%
$60-$70
16%
70-80 USD
23%
80-90 dolarów
23%
90-100 USD
14%
100-115 USD
11%
>115 USD
9%
70-80 USD 22.7%
80-90 dolarów 23%
$60-$70 16.2%
90-100 USD 14%
$525,927 Wol.
$525,927 Wol.
<50 USD
3%
50-60 USD
5%
$60-$70
16%
70-80 USD
23%
80-90 dolarów
23%
90-100 USD
14%
100-115 USD
11%
>115 USD
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices silver's June 2026 COMEX settlement (SI) in a tight contest between $70-$80 (22.7% implied probability) and $80-$90 (22.5%), reflecting spot prices' recent surge to $80.35/oz on May 8 amid a 9% weekly rally fueled by persistent supply deficits—now in their sixth year—and surging industrial fabrication demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics, up despite a projected 2% dip to 650 Moz. Key differentiators include Federal Reserve policy signals, with markets pricing fewer rate cuts amid sticky inflation, versus bullish catalysts like escalating geopolitical tensions and a weakening U.S. dollar. Upcoming April CPI data (May 15 release) and June FOMC meeting loom as swing factors, with forecasts averaging $81/oz for 2026 per J.P. Morgan.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania