OpenAI's 72.5% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of October stems from its demonstrated progress in large language models and agent frameworks, including recent capability benchmarks that have widened its lead over rivals. Traders view this as reinforced by OpenAI's developer ecosystem scale and platform integrations, creating a clear separation from Anthropic at 20% and lower-odds labs like Google, Moonshot, and DeepSeek. With October resolution approaching, any new model releases, safety evaluations, or competitive announcements could shift the market-implied odds in this closely watched tech sector contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
OpenAI 73%
Anthropic 18%
Moonshot 7%
DeepSeek 4.8%
$32,974 Wol.
$32,974 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
73%
Anthropic
18%
Moonshot
7%
DeepSeek
5%
SpaceXAI
4%
3%
ByteDance
2%
Amazon
1%
Meituan
1%
MiniMax
1%
Z.ai
1%
Baidu
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Meta
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
OpenAI 73%
Anthropic 18%
Moonshot 7%
DeepSeek 4.8%
$32,974 Wol.
$32,974 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$12,305 Wol.
73%
Anthropic
$4,185 Wol.
18%
Moonshot
$7,637 Wol.
7%
DeepSeek
$586 Wol.
5%
SpaceXAI
$673 Wol.
4%
$1,495 Wol.
3%
ByteDance
$521 Wol.
2%
Amazon
$567 Wol.
1%
Meituan
$491 Wol.
1%
MiniMax
$594 Wol.
1%
Z.ai
$523 Wol.
1%
Baidu
$559 Wol.
1%
Alibaba
$517 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$477 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$423 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$526 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$494 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$400 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's 72.5% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of October stems from its demonstrated progress in large language models and agent frameworks, including recent capability benchmarks that have widened its lead over rivals. Traders view this as reinforced by OpenAI's developer ecosystem scale and platform integrations, creating a clear separation from Anthropic at 20% and lower-odds labs like Google, Moonshot, and DeepSeek. With October resolution approaching, any new model releases, safety evaluations, or competitive announcements could shift the market-implied odds in this closely watched tech sector contest.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$32,974Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's 72.5% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of October stems from its demonstrated progress in large language models and agent frameworks, including recent capability benchmarks that have widened its lead over rivals. Traders view this as reinforced by OpenAI's developer ecosystem scale and platform integrations, creating a clear separation from Anthropic at 20% and lower-odds labs like Google, Moonshot, and DeepSeek. With October resolution approaching, any new model releases, safety evaluations, or competitive announcements could shift the market-implied odds in this closely watched tech sector contest.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$32,974Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's 72.5% implied probability for second-best AI agent lab by end of October stems from its demonstrated progress in large language models and agent frameworks, including recent capability benchmarks that have widened its lead over rivals. Traders view this as reinforced by OpenAI's developer ecosystem scale and platform integrations, creating a clear separation from Anthropic at 20% and lower-odds labs like Google, Moonshot, and DeepSeek. With October resolution approaching, any new model releases, safety evaluations, or competitive announcements could shift the market-implied odds in this closely watched tech sector contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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