OpenAI holds overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August due to its recent advancements in agentic large language models, including improved reasoning chains and tool-use benchmarks that have outpaced most competitors in demonstrated capabilities. Traders appear to weigh OpenAI's established developer ecosystem, frequent model iterations, and real-world deployments more heavily than rivals amid a fast-moving competitive landscape. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a last-minute breakthrough release or benchmark lead from a lab like Anthropic or a new entrant, though the proximity to resolution leaves limited room for such reversals to register before the market closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAI 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$24,649 Wol.
$24,649 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
No
OpenAI
Yes
Z.ai
No
SpaceXAI
No
Meta
No
Alibaba
No
No
Moonshot
No
DeepSeek
No
Xiaomi
No
MiniMax
No
Nvidia
No
ByteDance
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Microsoft
No
OpenAI 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$24,649 Wol.
$24,649 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$1,618 Wol.
No
OpenAI
$6,994 Wol.
Yes
Z.ai
$1,752 Wol.
No
SpaceXAI
$443 Wol.
No
Meta
$378 Wol.
No
Alibaba
$715 Wol.
No
$363 Wol.
No
Moonshot
$6,019 Wol.
No
DeepSeek
$707 Wol.
No
Xiaomi
$1,163 Wol.
No
MiniMax
$489 Wol.
No
Nvidia
$622 Wol.
No
ByteDance
$954 Wol.
No
Baidu
$592 Wol.
No
Amazon
$323 Wol.
No
Mistral
$450 Wol.
No
Meituan
$336 Wol.
No
Microsoft
$733 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August due to its recent advancements in agentic large language models, including improved reasoning chains and tool-use benchmarks that have outpaced most competitors in demonstrated capabilities. Traders appear to weigh OpenAI's established developer ecosystem, frequent model iterations, and real-world deployments more heavily than rivals amid a fast-moving competitive landscape. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a last-minute breakthrough release or benchmark lead from a lab like Anthropic or a new entrant, though the proximity to resolution leaves limited room for such reversals to register before the market closes.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Wolumen
$24,649Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August due to its recent advancements in agentic large language models, including improved reasoning chains and tool-use benchmarks that have outpaced most competitors in demonstrated capabilities. Traders appear to weigh OpenAI's established developer ecosystem, frequent model iterations, and real-world deployments more heavily than rivals amid a fast-moving competitive landscape. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a last-minute breakthrough release or benchmark lead from a lab like Anthropic or a new entrant, though the proximity to resolution leaves limited room for such reversals to register before the market closes.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$24,649Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
OpenAI holds overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August due to its recent advancements in agentic large language models, including improved reasoning chains and tool-use benchmarks that have outpaced most competitors in demonstrated capabilities. Traders appear to weigh OpenAI's established developer ecosystem, frequent model iterations, and real-world deployments more heavily than rivals amid a fast-moving competitive landscape. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a last-minute breakthrough release or benchmark lead from a lab like Anthropic or a new entrant, though the proximity to resolution leaves limited room for such reversals to register before the market closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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