The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Citizenship Clause and rejected the administration’s executive order, with the 25-day window for a rehearing petition closing in late July without any filing on the docket. Rehearing requests are granted only in exceptional circumstances and have not been approved since 1965. Trader consensus at 96.9% on “No” reflects the missed deadline, the Court’s established practice on such petitions, and the absence of new litigation or procedural avenues that would trigger reconsideration before year-end. A late procedural development, such as an unanticipated filing accepted out of time or a related case reaching the Court, remains theoretically possible but would face steep institutional barriers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Citizenship Clause and rejected the administration’s executive order, with the 25-day window for a rehearing petition closing in late July without any filing on the docket. Rehearing requests are granted only in exceptional circumstances and have not been approved since 1965. Trader consensus at 96.9% on “No” reflects the missed deadline, the Court’s established practice on such petitions, and the absence of new litigation or procedural avenues that would trigger reconsideration before year-end. A late procedural development, such as an unanticipated filing accepted out of time or a related case reaching the Court, remains theoretically possible but would face steep institutional barriers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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