Russia's Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko from the nationwide party-list ballot for the September 18–20 State Duma elections after a lawsuit by the Rodina party cited procedural issues. This decision followed the party's brief registration in late July and a short polling surge in independent surveys that placed it near or above the 5 percent proportional threshold in some urban samples. Yabloko has not cleared the threshold in any national election since 1999 and typically registers 1–2 percent in official polling amid longstanding administrative and media constraints on opposition parties. With the party effectively excluded from the proportional-representation component and the vote days away, trader consensus reflects the structural barrier to list participation. Late reinstatement via appeal remains a narrow procedural possibility before results are finalized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
<1% szansa
$601,083 Wol.
$601,083 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<1% szansa
$601,083 Wol.
$601,083 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko from the nationwide party-list ballot for the September 18–20 State Duma elections after a lawsuit by the Rodina party cited procedural issues. This decision followed the party's brief registration in late July and a short polling surge in independent surveys that placed it near or above the 5 percent proportional threshold in some urban samples. Yabloko has not cleared the threshold in any national election since 1999 and typically registers 1–2 percent in official polling amid longstanding administrative and media constraints on opposition parties. With the party effectively excluded from the proportional-representation component and the vote days away, trader consensus reflects the structural barrier to list participation. Late reinstatement via appeal remains a narrow procedural possibility before results are finalized.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$601,083Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko from the nationwide party-list ballot for the September 18–20 State Duma elections after a lawsuit by the Rodina party cited procedural issues. This decision followed the party's brief registration in late July and a short polling surge in independent surveys that placed it near or above the 5 percent proportional threshold in some urban samples. Yabloko has not cleared the threshold in any national election since 1999 and typically registers 1–2 percent in official polling amid longstanding administrative and media constraints on opposition parties. With the party effectively excluded from the proportional-representation component and the vote days away, trader consensus reflects the structural barrier to list participation. Late reinstatement via appeal remains a narrow procedural possibility before results are finalized.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$601,083Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Russia's Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed Yabloko from the nationwide party-list ballot for the September 18–20 State Duma elections after a lawsuit by the Rodina party cited procedural issues. This decision followed the party's brief registration in late July and a short polling surge in independent surveys that placed it near or above the 5 percent proportional threshold in some urban samples. Yabloko has not cleared the threshold in any national election since 1999 and typically registers 1–2 percent in official polling amid longstanding administrative and media constraints on opposition parties. With the party effectively excluded from the proportional-representation component and the vote days away, trader consensus reflects the structural barrier to list participation. Late reinstatement via appeal remains a narrow procedural possibility before results are finalized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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