With leading contenders The Debut and Wild Horse Nine closely matched at implied probabilities of 35.7% and 33.5%, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the 2027 Best Original Screenplay race this early in the cycle. Both projects benefit from strong industry buzz around their original stories and critical momentum, while lower-priced options like Obsession and Elsinore trail due to limited precursor visibility and release timing. The crowded field of additional titles and "Other" underscores how guild nominations, festival premieres, and late-year reviews could quickly shift consensus before voting begins. Historical patterns show original screenplay often rewards fresh narratives over established franchises, keeping the market fluid until key awards bodies weigh in.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 34%
The Debut 31.6%
Obsession 10%
Elsinore 6.4%
$36,376 Wol.
$36,376 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
34%
The Debut
32%
Obsession
10%
Elsinore
7%
Digger
4%
The Drama
4%
The Invite
3%
Josephine
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
A Place in Hell
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Fjord
1%
Club Kid
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Fatherland
1%
The Black Ball
<1%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
The Debut 31.6%
Obsession 10%
Elsinore 6.4%
$36,376 Wol.
$36,376 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$27,121 Wol.
34%
The Debut
$1,462 Wol.
32%
Obsession
$834 Wol.
10%
Elsinore
$788 Wol.
7%
Digger
$3,061 Wol.
4%
The Drama
$59 Wol.
4%
The Invite
$80 Wol.
3%
Josephine
$59 Wol.
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$81 Wol.
3%
A Place in Hell
$81 Wol.
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$118 Wol.
3%
The Odyssey
$81 Wol.
3%
Fjord
$1,702 Wol.
1%
Club Kid
$555 Wol.
1%
Forgotten Island
$91 Wol.
1%
Fatherland
$52 Wol.
1%
The Black Ball
$149 Wol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders The Debut and Wild Horse Nine closely matched at implied probabilities of 35.7% and 33.5%, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the 2027 Best Original Screenplay race this early in the cycle. Both projects benefit from strong industry buzz around their original stories and critical momentum, while lower-priced options like Obsession and Elsinore trail due to limited precursor visibility and release timing. The crowded field of additional titles and "Other" underscores how guild nominations, festival premieres, and late-year reviews could quickly shift consensus before voting begins. Historical patterns show original screenplay often rewards fresh narratives over established franchises, keeping the market fluid until key awards bodies weigh in.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,376Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders The Debut and Wild Horse Nine closely matched at implied probabilities of 35.7% and 33.5%, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the 2027 Best Original Screenplay race this early in the cycle. Both projects benefit from strong industry buzz around their original stories and critical momentum, while lower-priced options like Obsession and Elsinore trail due to limited precursor visibility and release timing. The crowded field of additional titles and "Other" underscores how guild nominations, festival premieres, and late-year reviews could quickly shift consensus before voting begins. Historical patterns show original screenplay often rewards fresh narratives over established franchises, keeping the market fluid until key awards bodies weigh in.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$36,376Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...With leading contenders The Debut and Wild Horse Nine closely matched at implied probabilities of 35.7% and 33.5%, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the 2027 Best Original Screenplay race this early in the cycle. Both projects benefit from strong industry buzz around their original stories and critical momentum, while lower-priced options like Obsession and Elsinore trail due to limited precursor visibility and release timing. The crowded field of additional titles and "Other" underscores how guild nominations, festival premieres, and late-year reviews could quickly shift consensus before voting begins. Historical patterns show original screenplay often rewards fresh narratives over established franchises, keeping the market fluid until key awards bodies weigh in.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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