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Oscars: Best Original Screenplay

Market icon

Oscars: Best Original Screenplay

The Holdovers 0

Anatomy of a Fall 0

Past Lives 0

May December 0

Polymarket

$80,159 Wol.

The Holdovers 0

Anatomy of a Fall 0

Past Lives 0

May December 0

Polymarket

$80,159 Wol.

Will The Holdovers win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay? icon

The Holdovers

$25,139 Wol.

No

Will Anatomy of a Fall win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay? icon

Anatomy of a Fall

$38,366 Wol.

Yes

Will Past Lives win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay? icon

Past Lives

$9,195 Wol.

No

Will May December win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay? icon

May December

$3,908 Wol.

No

Will Maestro win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay? icon

Maestro

$3,552 Wol.

No

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Holdovers' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Anatomy of a Fall' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Past Lives' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'May December' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Maestro' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Holdovers' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$80,159
Data zakończenia
Mar 10, 2024
Rynek otwarty
Jan 25, 2024, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Holdovers' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Holdovers' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Anatomy of a Fall' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Past Lives' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'May December' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Maestro' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Holdovers' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$80,159
Data zakończenia
Mar 10, 2024
Rynek otwarty
Jan 25, 2024, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Holdovers' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

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Często zadawane pytania

"Oscars: Best Original Screenplay" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Anatomy of a Fall" z 100%, za nim "The Holdovers" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Oscars: Best Original Screenplay" wygenerował $80.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 25, 2024. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Oscars: Best Original Screenplay", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Oscars: Best Original Screenplay" jest "Anatomy of a Fall" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "The Holdovers" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Oscars: Best Original Screenplay" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.