Incumbent Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio's 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's Republican lean and his record of double-digit victories in prior cycles. The district, which spans parts of central Ohio including Columbus suburbs and rural counties, favored Republican presidential candidates by roughly nine points in 2024 and carries ratings of Likely Republican from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Don Leonard, the Democratic nominee and former Ohio State professor who won a close May primary, faces structural challenges in a seat last rated Safe Republican before a late-September adjustment. Early voting is underway with no major late-breaking developments reported that would alter the current trader consensus favoring the Republican hold.