New York’s 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, establishing a structural barrier for any Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, including Darializa Avila Chevalier, but nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic with no credible Republican opposition filed. The market’s 95.5% consensus on the Democratic Party reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A late primary upset or unforeseen national wave could theoretically alter the outcome, yet historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate limited pathways for such shifts before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$32,464 Wol.
$32,464 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$32,464 Wol.
$32,464 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,422 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$12,042 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, establishing a structural barrier for any Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, including Darializa Avila Chevalier, but nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic with no credible Republican opposition filed. The market’s 95.5% consensus on the Democratic Party reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A late primary upset or unforeseen national wave could theoretically alter the outcome, yet historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate limited pathways for such shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,464Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, establishing a structural barrier for any Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, including Darializa Avila Chevalier, but nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic with no credible Republican opposition filed. The market’s 95.5% consensus on the Democratic Party reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A late primary upset or unforeseen national wave could theoretically alter the outcome, yet historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate limited pathways for such shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,464Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, establishing a structural barrier for any Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, including Darializa Avila Chevalier, but nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic with no credible Republican opposition filed. The market’s 95.5% consensus on the Democratic Party reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A late primary upset or unforeseen national wave could theoretically alter the outcome, yet historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate limited pathways for such shifts before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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