New York’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader first elected in 2012, won his most recent general election by a wide margin and faces a June 23 Democratic primary before the November 3 general. These structural advantages, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in the Brooklyn-based seat, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican challenger or a national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s established voting patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-08 House Election Winner
NY-08 House Election Winner
$21,370 Wol.
$21,370 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$21,370 Wol.
$21,370 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,505 Wol.
92%
Republican Party
$9,864 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader first elected in 2012, won his most recent general election by a wide margin and faces a June 23 Democratic primary before the November 3 general. These structural advantages, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in the Brooklyn-based seat, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican challenger or a national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,370Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader first elected in 2012, won his most recent general election by a wide margin and faces a June 23 Democratic primary before the November 3 general. These structural advantages, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in the Brooklyn-based seat, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican challenger or a national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$21,370Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader first elected in 2012, won his most recent general election by a wide margin and faces a June 23 Democratic primary before the November 3 general. These structural advantages, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in the Brooklyn-based seat, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican challenger or a national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s established voting patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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