New York's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the incumbent's 2024 general election margin exceeding 45 points and the area's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. With primaries scheduled for June 23, the sitting representative faces limited primary opposition while Republican contenders remain low-profile. These structural factors, combined with the district's urban composition and voting history, underpin trader consensus on the Democratic outcome. Late shifts remain possible if a high-profile Republican emerges, turnout patterns change markedly, or national conditions produce an unusually strong midterm wave for the opposing party.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$22,223 Wol.
$22,223 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,223 Wol.
$22,223 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,739 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$7,484 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the incumbent's 2024 general election margin exceeding 45 points and the area's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. With primaries scheduled for June 23, the sitting representative faces limited primary opposition while Republican contenders remain low-profile. These structural factors, combined with the district's urban composition and voting history, underpin trader consensus on the Democratic outcome. Late shifts remain possible if a high-profile Republican emerges, turnout patterns change markedly, or national conditions produce an unusually strong midterm wave for the opposing party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,223Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the incumbent's 2024 general election margin exceeding 45 points and the area's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. With primaries scheduled for June 23, the sitting representative faces limited primary opposition while Republican contenders remain low-profile. These structural factors, combined with the district's urban composition and voting history, underpin trader consensus on the Democratic outcome. Late shifts remain possible if a high-profile Republican emerges, turnout patterns change markedly, or national conditions produce an unusually strong midterm wave for the opposing party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$22,223Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the incumbent's 2024 general election margin exceeding 45 points and the area's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. With primaries scheduled for June 23, the sitting representative faces limited primary opposition while Republican contenders remain low-profile. These structural factors, combined with the district's urban composition and voting history, underpin trader consensus on the Democratic outcome. Late shifts remain possible if a high-profile Republican emerges, turnout patterns change markedly, or national conditions produce an unusually strong midterm wave for the opposing party.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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