The upcoming Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election on 16 July 2026, triggered by the incumbent's resignation, features a fragmented field of seven candidates including Matthew Taylor for the Conservatives, Martin Schmierer for the Greens, Beth Jones for Labour, Christopher John Brown for the Liberal Democrats, Colin Sutton for Reform UK, Mark Rhoades Buckton for Restore Britain, and Marcus Howard Pearcey as an Independent. This spread, combined with the absence of recent public polling and short campaign timelines after nominations closed in mid-June, sustains even trader pricing by dispersing support across party lines and local priorities like crime reduction and constabulary oversight. Late developments such as targeted voter outreach, cross-party endorsements, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban wards could consolidate preferences and alter implied probabilities ahead of the count.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoColin Sutton 100.0%
Christopher John Brown <1%
Mark Rhoades Buckton <1%
Beth Jones <1%
$37,065 Wol.
$37,065 Wol.
Christopher John Brown
No
Mark Rhoades Buckton
No
Beth Jones
No
Marcus Howard Pearcey
No
Martin Schmierer
No
Colin Sutton
Yes
Matthew Taylor
No
Colin Sutton 100.0%
Christopher John Brown <1%
Mark Rhoades Buckton <1%
Beth Jones <1%
$37,065 Wol.
$37,065 Wol.
Christopher John Brown
No
Mark Rhoades Buckton
No
Beth Jones
No
Marcus Howard Pearcey
No
Martin Schmierer
No
Colin Sutton
Yes
Matthew Taylor
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The upcoming Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election on 16 July 2026, triggered by the incumbent's resignation, features a fragmented field of seven candidates including Matthew Taylor for the Conservatives, Martin Schmierer for the Greens, Beth Jones for Labour, Christopher John Brown for the Liberal Democrats, Colin Sutton for Reform UK, Mark Rhoades Buckton for Restore Britain, and Marcus Howard Pearcey as an Independent. This spread, combined with the absence of recent public polling and short campaign timelines after nominations closed in mid-June, sustains even trader pricing by dispersing support across party lines and local priorities like crime reduction and constabulary oversight. Late developments such as targeted voter outreach, cross-party endorsements, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban wards could consolidate preferences and alter implied probabilities ahead of the count.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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