New Jersey’s 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and a voter registration edge exceeding 50 percent for Democrats. Incumbent Representative Rob Menendez holds the seat after winning comfortably in 2024, faces only a primary contest on June 2, and encounters no Republican nominee on the general-election ballot. These structural factors—partisan composition, incumbency, and lack of opposition—underpin the 92.5 percent Democratic consensus reflected in current trader pricing. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen independent surge, a post-primary vacancy, or a major scandal capable of depressing turnout enough to elevate a write-in or minor-party candidate, none of which has materialized in the past month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-08 House Election Winner
NJ-08 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,876 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$2,956 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and a voter registration edge exceeding 50 percent for Democrats. Incumbent Representative Rob Menendez holds the seat after winning comfortably in 2024, faces only a primary contest on June 2, and encounters no Republican nominee on the general-election ballot. These structural factors—partisan composition, incumbency, and lack of opposition—underpin the 92.5 percent Democratic consensus reflected in current trader pricing. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen independent surge, a post-primary vacancy, or a major scandal capable of depressing turnout enough to elevate a write-in or minor-party candidate, none of which has materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,832Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and a voter registration edge exceeding 50 percent for Democrats. Incumbent Representative Rob Menendez holds the seat after winning comfortably in 2024, faces only a primary contest on June 2, and encounters no Republican nominee on the general-election ballot. These structural factors—partisan composition, incumbency, and lack of opposition—underpin the 92.5 percent Democratic consensus reflected in current trader pricing. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen independent surge, a post-primary vacancy, or a major scandal capable of depressing turnout enough to elevate a write-in or minor-party candidate, none of which has materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$6,832Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and a voter registration edge exceeding 50 percent for Democrats. Incumbent Representative Rob Menendez holds the seat after winning comfortably in 2024, faces only a primary contest on June 2, and encounters no Republican nominee on the general-election ballot. These structural factors—partisan composition, incumbency, and lack of opposition—underpin the 92.5 percent Democratic consensus reflected in current trader pricing. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen independent surge, a post-primary vacancy, or a major scandal capable of depressing turnout enough to elevate a write-in or minor-party candidate, none of which has materialized in the past month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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