Netanyahu leads among named outcomes at 26.5% amid ongoing coalition strains and security policy debates in Israel, while Díaz-Canel sits at 7.5% given Cuba’s persistent fuel shortages, power outages, and U.S. sanctions pressure. Macron registers at 3.0% despite his term ending in May 2027, after the market window. The frontrunner “none before 2027” at 41% aligns with the absence of imminent elections or constitutional deadlines for most listed figures through December 2026. Trader pricing incorporates recent diplomatic contacts, economic stabilization efforts, and coalition arithmetic as the primary near-term variables that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
None before 2027 41%
Netanyahu - Israel PM 27%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 7.5%
Macron - France President 3.0%
$165,703 Wol.
$165,703 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
None before 2027
41%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
27%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
8%
Macron - France President
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
3%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
3%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
2%
Trump - USA President
2%
Putin - Russia President
1%
Lecornu - France PM
1%
Newsom - California Governor
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
None before 2027 41%
Netanyahu - Israel PM 27%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 7.5%
Macron - France President 3.0%
$165,703 Wol.
$165,703 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
None before 2027
$59,712 Wol.
41%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$10,244 Wol.
27%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$5,700 Wol.
8%
Macron - France President
$6,378 Wol.
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$4,281 Wol.
3%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$6,063 Wol.
3%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$8,230 Wol.
2%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$4,072 Wol.
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$4,834 Wol.
2%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$4,958 Wol.
2%
Trump - USA President
$3,470 Wol.
2%
Putin - Russia President
$5,127 Wol.
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$5,555 Wol.
1%
Newsom - California Governor
$3,343 Wol.
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$4,006 Wol.
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$3,603 Wol.
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$3,694 Wol.
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$3,196 Wol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$4,743 Wol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$4,828 Wol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$5,007 Wol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$4,659 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads among named outcomes at 26.5% amid ongoing coalition strains and security policy debates in Israel, while Díaz-Canel sits at 7.5% given Cuba’s persistent fuel shortages, power outages, and U.S. sanctions pressure. Macron registers at 3.0% despite his term ending in May 2027, after the market window. The frontrunner “none before 2027” at 41% aligns with the absence of imminent elections or constitutional deadlines for most listed figures through December 2026. Trader pricing incorporates recent diplomatic contacts, economic stabilization efforts, and coalition arithmetic as the primary near-term variables that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET
Wolumen
$165,703Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads among named outcomes at 26.5% amid ongoing coalition strains and security policy debates in Israel, while Díaz-Canel sits at 7.5% given Cuba’s persistent fuel shortages, power outages, and U.S. sanctions pressure. Macron registers at 3.0% despite his term ending in May 2027, after the market window. The frontrunner “none before 2027” at 41% aligns with the absence of imminent elections or constitutional deadlines for most listed figures through December 2026. Trader pricing incorporates recent diplomatic contacts, economic stabilization efforts, and coalition arithmetic as the primary near-term variables that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$165,703Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Netanyahu leads among named outcomes at 26.5% amid ongoing coalition strains and security policy debates in Israel, while Díaz-Canel sits at 7.5% given Cuba’s persistent fuel shortages, power outages, and U.S. sanctions pressure. Macron registers at 3.0% despite his term ending in May 2027, after the market window. The frontrunner “none before 2027” at 41% aligns with the absence of imminent elections or constitutional deadlines for most listed figures through December 2026. Trader pricing incorporates recent diplomatic contacts, economic stabilization efforts, and coalition arithmetic as the primary near-term variables that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania