**Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series, led by the 2.4-trillion-parameter Qwen3.8-Max (95B active, 1M-token context, multimodal MoE), reached general availability via API on August 3, 2026, following its July 19 preview.** This marked the first open-weight release of a Qwen-Max-class model (Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B on August 12, plus the efficient 27B variant shortly after), driven by competitive pressure from models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and a strategic shift toward broader developer access. The late-August launch of Qwen3.8-Flash (125B MoE with only 6B active parameters) explicitly previewed Qwen4 architecture while delivering sharply lower training and inference costs—roughly one-ninth of prior Plus models—along with strong gains on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and agentic tasks. Traders are watching for the full Qwen4 rollout, additional 3.8 snapshots, or regulatory or ecosystem developments that could accelerate or delay the next flagship Plus iteration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
September 15
29%
September 30
8%
$5,800 Wol.
September 15
$217 Wol.
29%
September 30
$1,897 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series, led by the 2.4-trillion-parameter Qwen3.8-Max (95B active, 1M-token context, multimodal MoE), reached general availability via API on August 3, 2026, following its July 19 preview.** This marked the first open-weight release of a Qwen-Max-class model (Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B on August 12, plus the efficient 27B variant shortly after), driven by competitive pressure from models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and a strategic shift toward broader developer access. The late-August launch of Qwen3.8-Flash (125B MoE with only 6B active parameters) explicitly previewed Qwen4 architecture while delivering sharply lower training and inference costs—roughly one-ninth of prior Plus models—along with strong gains on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and agentic tasks. Traders are watching for the full Qwen4 rollout, additional 3.8 snapshots, or regulatory or ecosystem developments that could accelerate or delay the next flagship Plus iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,800Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:43 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series, led by the 2.4-trillion-parameter Qwen3.8-Max (95B active, 1M-token context, multimodal MoE), reached general availability via API on August 3, 2026, following its July 19 preview.** This marked the first open-weight release of a Qwen-Max-class model (Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B on August 12, plus the efficient 27B variant shortly after), driven by competitive pressure from models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and a strategic shift toward broader developer access. The late-August launch of Qwen3.8-Flash (125B MoE with only 6B active parameters) explicitly previewed Qwen4 architecture while delivering sharply lower training and inference costs—roughly one-ninth of prior Plus models—along with strong gains on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and agentic tasks. Traders are watching for the full Qwen4 rollout, additional 3.8 snapshots, or regulatory or ecosystem developments that could accelerate or delay the next flagship Plus iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$5,800Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:43 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series, led by the 2.4-trillion-parameter Qwen3.8-Max (95B active, 1M-token context, multimodal MoE), reached general availability via API on August 3, 2026, following its July 19 preview.** This marked the first open-weight release of a Qwen-Max-class model (Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B on August 12, plus the efficient 27B variant shortly after), driven by competitive pressure from models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and a strategic shift toward broader developer access. The late-August launch of Qwen3.8-Flash (125B MoE with only 6B active parameters) explicitly previewed Qwen4 architecture while delivering sharply lower training and inference costs—roughly one-ninth of prior Plus models—along with strong gains on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and agentic tasks. Traders are watching for the full Qwen4 rollout, additional 3.8 snapshots, or regulatory or ecosystem developments that could accelerate or delay the next flagship Plus iteration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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