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Sport·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Sport·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 40%

Aaron Judge 33%

Munetaka Murakami 10%

Matt Olson 5.2%

Polymarket

$13,306 Wol.

Kyle Schwarber 40%

Aaron Judge 33%

Munetaka Murakami 10%

Matt Olson 5.2%

Polymarket

$13,306 Wol.

Kyle Schwarber

$4,217 Wol.

40%

Aaron Judge

$1,556 Wol.

33%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,971 Wol.

10%

Matt Olson

$869 Wol.

5%

Yordan Alvarez

$241 Wol.

4%

James Wood

$249 Wol.

4%

Brandon Lowe

$157 Wol.

2%

Junior Caminero

$151 Wol.

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$276 Wol.

2%

Cal Raleigh

$120 Wol.

1%

Shea Langeliers

$316 Wol.

1%

Shohei Ohtani

$380 Wol.

1%

Mike Trout

$120 Wol.

1%

Manny Machado

$170 Wol.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$120 Wol.

1%

Juan Soto

$120 Wol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$120 Wol.

1%

Rafael Devers

$120 Wol.

1%

Jordan Walker

$120 Wol.

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$120 Wol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$152 Wol.

1%

CJ Abrams

$162 Wol.

1%

Ben Rice

$175 Wol.

<1%

Sal Stewart

$162 Wol.

<1%

George Springer

$147 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's early-season surge to 20 home runs, including a six-homer span over five games, has positioned him as the current leader and driven trader consensus toward his 39.5% implied probability. Aaron Judge remains within striking distance at 16 homers with his consistent power output and high on-base rate, supporting his 33.0% share. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls reflect strong rookie production for the White Sox, though his 9.5% pricing reflects the challenges of sustaining pace over a full campaign. The tight bunched probabilities stem from a long regular season ahead, where variables like rest advantages, opposing pitching matchups, and potential injury absences could shift momentum among established sluggers and emerging contenders alike.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$13,306
Data zakończenia
Sep 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's early-season surge to 20 home runs, including a six-homer span over five games, has positioned him as the current leader and driven trader consensus toward his 39.5% implied probability. Aaron Judge remains within striking distance at 16 homers with his consistent power output and high on-base rate, supporting his 33.0% share. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls reflect strong rookie production for the White Sox, though his 9.5% pricing reflects the challenges of sustaining pace over a full campaign. The tight bunched probabilities stem from a long regular season ahead, where variables like rest advantages, opposing pitching matchups, and potential injury absences could shift momentum among established sluggers and emerging contenders alike.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$13,306
Data zakończenia
Sep 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 25 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Kyle Schwarber" z 40%, za nim "Aaron Judge" z 33%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 40¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 40% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "MLB: Home Runs Leader" wygenerował $13.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 22, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "MLB: Home Runs Leader", przeglądaj 25 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "MLB: Home Runs Leader" jest "Kyle Schwarber" z 40%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 40% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Aaron Judge" z 33%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "MLB: Home Runs Leader" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.