Kyle Schwarber holds a narrow edge in the early 2026 home run chase after becoming the first player to reach 20 homers, fueled by a torrid May stretch that has produced multiple multi-homer games for the Phillies DH. Aaron Judge remains within striking distance with 16 long balls despite a slower start, drawing on his proven ability to surge in warmer months and his history of leading the league multiple times. Murakami’s 17 homers keep him relevant as a rookie power threat, while established sluggers like Alvarez and Olson trail but retain upside given their track records in favorable ballparks. With roughly 110 games left, injury risk, schedule strength, and late-season hot streaks create a fluid leaderboard that explains why trader consensus keeps the top two contenders tightly bunched in implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKyle Schwarber 34%
Aaron Judge 29%
Munetaka Murakami 9%
Matt Olson 6.4%
$11,125 Wol.
$11,125 Wol.
Kyle Schwarber
34%
Aaron Judge
29%
Munetaka Murakami
9%
Matt Olson
6%
Yordan Alvarez
6%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
George Springer
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 34%
Aaron Judge 29%
Munetaka Murakami 9%
Matt Olson 6.4%
$11,125 Wol.
$11,125 Wol.
Kyle Schwarber
34%
Aaron Judge
29%
Munetaka Murakami
9%
Matt Olson
6%
Yordan Alvarez
6%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
George Springer
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber holds a narrow edge in the early 2026 home run chase after becoming the first player to reach 20 homers, fueled by a torrid May stretch that has produced multiple multi-homer games for the Phillies DH. Aaron Judge remains within striking distance with 16 long balls despite a slower start, drawing on his proven ability to surge in warmer months and his history of leading the league multiple times. Murakami’s 17 homers keep him relevant as a rookie power threat, while established sluggers like Alvarez and Olson trail but retain upside given their track records in favorable ballparks. With roughly 110 games left, injury risk, schedule strength, and late-season hot streaks create a fluid leaderboard that explains why trader consensus keeps the top two contenders tightly bunched in implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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