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icon for MLB: 2026 WAR Leader

MLB: 2026 WAR Leader

icon for MLB: 2026 WAR Leader

MLB: 2026 WAR Leader

Pete Crow-Armstrong 99.7%

Shohei Ohtani <1%

Bobby Witt Jr. <1%

Yordan Alvarez <1%

Polymarket
NOWE

Pete Crow-Armstrong 99.7%

Shohei Ohtani <1%

Bobby Witt Jr. <1%

Yordan Alvarez <1%

Polymarket
NOWE

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$908 Wol.

100%

Shohei Ohtani

$670 Wol.

<1%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$650 Wol.

<1%

Yordan Alvarez

$686 Wol.

<1%

Jacob Misiorowski

$411 Wol.

<1%

Cristopher Sánchez

$443 Wol.

<1%

Dillon Dingler

$411 Wol.

<1%

Cam Schlittler

$511 Wol.

<1%

Dylan Cease

$476 Wol.

<1%

Chris Sale

$476 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong's dominant 2026 campaign with the Chicago Cubs underpins the market's near-certain pricing on him leading MLB in Wins Above Replacement. The 24-year-old center fielder has combined elite defense—topping outfield range and outs above average metrics—with a .280/.372/.576 slash line, 44 home runs, 37 stolen bases, and roughly 9.4–10.3 WAR through 154 games, creating a multi-win gap over position players and pitchers alike. This pace echoes rare historical marks last approached by Barry Bonds in the National League more than two decades ago. Traders view the remaining schedule and any minor injury risk as insufficient to close the lead, though a sharp late surge from players like Shohei Ohtani or top starters could theoretically narrow the margin if Crow-Armstrong's production dips.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,642
Data zakończenia
Sep 27, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong's dominant 2026 campaign with the Chicago Cubs underpins the market's near-certain pricing on him leading MLB in Wins Above Replacement. The 24-year-old center fielder has combined elite defense—topping outfield range and outs above average metrics—with a .280/.372/.576 slash line, 44 home runs, 37 stolen bases, and roughly 9.4–10.3 WAR through 154 games, creating a multi-win gap over position players and pitchers alike. This pace echoes rare historical marks last approached by Barry Bonds in the National League more than two decades ago. Traders view the remaining schedule and any minor injury risk as insufficient to close the lead, though a sharp late surge from players like Shohei Ohtani or top starters could theoretically narrow the margin if Crow-Armstrong's production dips.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,642
Data zakończenia
Sep 27, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 10 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Pete Crow-Armstrong" z 100%, za nim "Shohei Ohtani" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"MLB: 2026 WAR Leader" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 28, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "MLB: 2026 WAR Leader", przeglądaj 10 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "MLB: 2026 WAR Leader" jest "Pete Crow-Armstrong" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Shohei Ohtani" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "MLB: 2026 WAR Leader" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.