Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains a strong hold for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus reflects the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal races, early polling advantages for Democratic primary contenders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig over Republican hopefuls led by Michele Tafoya, and nonpartisan forecaster ratings classifying the contest as Likely Democratic. The August primaries and general election timeline allow time for shifts, though notable barriers to a Republican victory include limited statewide name recognition among GOP candidates and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats in this battleground-turned-lean-blue state. Late developments such as national political waves, candidate scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the gap before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMinnesota Senate Election Winner
$23,453 Wol.
$23,453 Wol.

Democrat
92%

Republican
9%
$23,453 Wol.
$23,453 Wol.

Democrat
92%

Republican
9%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains a strong hold for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus reflects the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal races, early polling advantages for Democratic primary contenders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig over Republican hopefuls led by Michele Tafoya, and nonpartisan forecaster ratings classifying the contest as Likely Democratic. The August primaries and general election timeline allow time for shifts, though notable barriers to a Republican victory include limited statewide name recognition among GOP candidates and historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats in this battleground-turned-lean-blue state. Late developments such as national political waves, candidate scandals, or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the gap before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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