Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 11 primary, defeating Rep. Angie Craig by roughly 19.5 percentage points (59% to 39.5%) according to certified tallies. This margin aligns closely with the market’s dominant 15–20% outcome, reflecting confirmed vote counts across the state rather than polling or speculation. Flanagan’s progressive platform, endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith and party activists, and emphasis on corporate accountability and immigration enforcement resonated strongly in the Twin Cities and broader Democratic base. Craig’s more centrist positioning in a swing congressional district proved less competitive in the low-turnout primary environment. Late returns or minor disputes remain possible but are unlikely to shift the result outside the prevailing range given the scale of the lead.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlanagan 15–20% 97.9%
Craig 10–15% 3.2%
Flanagan 20%+ 2.0%
Craig 5–10% 1.7%
$47,737 Wol.
$47,737 Wol.
Aug 11, 2026
Flanagan 20%+
2%
Flanagan 15–20%
98%
Flanagan 10–15%
<1%
Flanagan 5–10%
1%
Flanagan <5%
2%
Craig <5%
2%
Craig 5–10%
2%
Craig 10–15%
3%
Craig 15–20%
<1%
Craig 20%+
1%
Flanagan 15–20% 97.9%
Craig 10–15% 3.2%
Flanagan 20%+ 2.0%
Craig 5–10% 1.7%
$47,737 Wol.
$47,737 Wol.
Aug 11, 2026
Flanagan 20%+
$1,541 Wol.
2%
Flanagan 15–20%
$17,353 Wol.
98%
Flanagan 10–15%
$9,838 Wol.
<1%
Flanagan 5–10%
$4,635 Wol.
1%
Flanagan <5%
$9,189 Wol.
2%
Craig <5%
$1,394 Wol.
2%
Craig 5–10%
$2,152 Wol.
2%
Craig 10–15%
$663 Wol.
3%
Craig 15–20%
$489 Wol.
<1%
Craig 20%+
$483 Wol.
1%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 11 primary, defeating Rep. Angie Craig by roughly 19.5 percentage points (59% to 39.5%) according to certified tallies. This margin aligns closely with the market’s dominant 15–20% outcome, reflecting confirmed vote counts across the state rather than polling or speculation. Flanagan’s progressive platform, endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith and party activists, and emphasis on corporate accountability and immigration enforcement resonated strongly in the Twin Cities and broader Democratic base. Craig’s more centrist positioning in a swing congressional district proved less competitive in the low-turnout primary environment. Late returns or minor disputes remain possible but are unlikely to shift the result outside the prevailing range given the scale of the lead.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$47,737Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 11 primary, defeating Rep. Angie Craig by roughly 19.5 percentage points (59% to 39.5%) according to certified tallies. This margin aligns closely with the market’s dominant 15–20% outcome, reflecting confirmed vote counts across the state rather than polling or speculation. Flanagan’s progressive platform, endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith and party activists, and emphasis on corporate accountability and immigration enforcement resonated strongly in the Twin Cities and broader Democratic base. Craig’s more centrist positioning in a swing congressional district proved less competitive in the low-turnout primary environment. Late returns or minor disputes remain possible but are unlikely to shift the result outside the prevailing range given the scale of the lead.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$47,737Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 11 primary, defeating Rep. Angie Craig by roughly 19.5 percentage points (59% to 39.5%) according to certified tallies. This margin aligns closely with the market’s dominant 15–20% outcome, reflecting confirmed vote counts across the state rather than polling or speculation. Flanagan’s progressive platform, endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith and party activists, and emphasis on corporate accountability and immigration enforcement resonated strongly in the Twin Cities and broader Democratic base. Craig’s more centrist positioning in a swing congressional district proved less competitive in the low-turnout primary environment. Late returns or minor disputes remain possible but are unlikely to shift the result outside the prevailing range given the scale of the lead.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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