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icon for Milton landfall at what category?

Milton landfall at what category?

icon for Milton landfall at what category?

Milton landfall at what category?

3 99.8%

≤2 <1%

4 <1%

5 <1%

Polymarket

$1,673,043 Wol.

3 99.8%

≤2 <1%

4 <1%

5 <1%

Polymarket

$1,673,043 Wol.

≤2

$482,582 Wol.

No

3

$246,126 Wol.

Yes

4

$384,695 Wol.

No

5

$559,640 Wol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No". If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 3 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 3 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 3, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 4 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 4, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 5 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 5, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml).

If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".

If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".

For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Wolumen
$1,673,043
Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2024
Rynek otwarty
Oct 7, 2024, 12:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No". If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No". If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 3 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 3 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 3, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 4 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 4, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 5 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 5, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml).

If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".

If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".

For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Wolumen
$1,673,043
Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2024
Rynek otwarty
Oct 7, 2024, 12:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No". If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

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Często zadawane pytania

"Milton landfall at what category?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "3" z 100%, za nim "≤2" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Milton landfall at what category?" wygenerował $1.7 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Oct 7, 2024. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Milton landfall at what category?", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Milton landfall at what category?" jest "3" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "≤2" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Milton landfall at what category?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.