The retirement of Democratic incumbent Gary Peters has created an open Michigan Senate seat for the November 2026 general election, with Republican former Representative Mike Rogers positioned as the likely GOP nominee following his narrow 2024 loss. A competitive Democratic primary on August 4 features U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, state Senator Mallory McMorrow, and former Wayne County health director Abdul El-Sayed, each drawing distinct endorsements and regional support in early polling. Major forecasters rate the general election a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a presidential battleground where Donald Trump prevailed narrowly in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 72% versus 28% for the Republican aligns with the party's structural advantages in an open-seat midterm environment and the depth of its primary field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMichigan Senate Election Winner
$114,781 Wol.
$114,781 Wol.

Democrat
72%

Republican
28%
$114,781 Wol.
$114,781 Wol.

Democrat
72%

Republican
28%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of Democratic incumbent Gary Peters has created an open Michigan Senate seat for the November 2026 general election, with Republican former Representative Mike Rogers positioned as the likely GOP nominee following his narrow 2024 loss. A competitive Democratic primary on August 4 features U.S. Representative Haley Stevens, state Senator Mallory McMorrow, and former Wayne County health director Abdul El-Sayed, each drawing distinct endorsements and regional support in early polling. Major forecasters rate the general election a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a presidential battleground where Donald Trump prevailed narrowly in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 72% versus 28% for the Republican aligns with the party's structural advantages in an open-seat midterm environment and the depth of its primary field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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