Recent polls show the SPD recovering ground ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, narrowing the gap with the leading AfD to three to five points in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA. Vote shares for the SPD have risen to the low-to-mid 30s in the latest readings, while the CDU hovers near or below the five-percent threshold and smaller parties such as the Greens and BSW remain marginal. These trends, combined with the proportional allocation rules and potential overhang seats in the 71-member chamber, underpin trader consensus around 26-29 SPD seats as the most probable outcome. Incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig’s strong personal ratings continue to support SPD positioning in the final campaign week.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano26-29 51%
22-25 37%
30-33 12.6%
18-21 2.4%
$47,750 Wol.
$47,750 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<18
1%
18-21
2%
22-25
37%
26-29
51%
30-33
13%
34+
1%
26-29 51%
22-25 37%
30-33 12.6%
18-21 2.4%
$47,750 Wol.
$47,750 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<18
$1,807 Wol.
1%
18-21
$1,607 Wol.
2%
22-25
$19,723 Wol.
37%
26-29
$17,299 Wol.
51%
30-33
$5,724 Wol.
13%
34+
$1,590 Wol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the SPD recovering ground ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, narrowing the gap with the leading AfD to three to five points in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA. Vote shares for the SPD have risen to the low-to-mid 30s in the latest readings, while the CDU hovers near or below the five-percent threshold and smaller parties such as the Greens and BSW remain marginal. These trends, combined with the proportional allocation rules and potential overhang seats in the 71-member chamber, underpin trader consensus around 26-29 SPD seats as the most probable outcome. Incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig’s strong personal ratings continue to support SPD positioning in the final campaign week.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$47,750Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the SPD recovering ground ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, narrowing the gap with the leading AfD to three to five points in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA. Vote shares for the SPD have risen to the low-to-mid 30s in the latest readings, while the CDU hovers near or below the five-percent threshold and smaller parties such as the Greens and BSW remain marginal. These trends, combined with the proportional allocation rules and potential overhang seats in the 71-member chamber, underpin trader consensus around 26-29 SPD seats as the most probable outcome. Incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig’s strong personal ratings continue to support SPD positioning in the final campaign week.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Wolumen
$47,750Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the SPD recovering ground ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, narrowing the gap with the leading AfD to three to five points in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA. Vote shares for the SPD have risen to the low-to-mid 30s in the latest readings, while the CDU hovers near or below the five-percent threshold and smaller parties such as the Greens and BSW remain marginal. These trends, combined with the proportional allocation rules and potential overhang seats in the 71-member chamber, underpin trader consensus around 26-29 SPD seats as the most probable outcome. Incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig’s strong personal ratings continue to support SPD positioning in the final campaign week.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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