Recent polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA shows the AfD maintaining a narrow lead at 36–38 percent ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 33–34 percent, with the Left near 10 percent and the CDU at 7 percent. This positioning, following the AfD’s stronger result in Saxony-Anhalt the prior week, supports projected seat totals for the AfD in the 28–31 range under Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. Modest SPD gains in the most recent surveys and uncertainty around smaller parties near the five-percent threshold have kept trader consensus centered on that band, with limited movement in overall vote intention in the final week.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano28-31 55%
32-35 27%
24-27 17.9%
36+ 2.9%
$50,870 Wol.
$50,870 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
<1%
20-23
<1%
24-27
18%
28-31
55%
32-35
27%
36+
3%
28-31 55%
32-35 27%
24-27 17.9%
36+ 2.9%
$50,870 Wol.
$50,870 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$1,400 Wol.
<1%
20-23
$2,698 Wol.
<1%
24-27
$10,746 Wol.
18%
28-31
$21,875 Wol.
55%
32-35
$9,701 Wol.
27%
36+
$4,450 Wol.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA shows the AfD maintaining a narrow lead at 36–38 percent ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 33–34 percent, with the Left near 10 percent and the CDU at 7 percent. This positioning, following the AfD’s stronger result in Saxony-Anhalt the prior week, supports projected seat totals for the AfD in the 28–31 range under Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. Modest SPD gains in the most recent surveys and uncertainty around smaller parties near the five-percent threshold have kept trader consensus centered on that band, with limited movement in overall vote intention in the final week.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,870Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA shows the AfD maintaining a narrow lead at 36–38 percent ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 33–34 percent, with the Left near 10 percent and the CDU at 7 percent. This positioning, following the AfD’s stronger result in Saxony-Anhalt the prior week, supports projected seat totals for the AfD in the 28–31 range under Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. Modest SPD gains in the most recent surveys and uncertainty around smaller parties near the five-percent threshold have kept trader consensus centered on that band, with limited movement in overall vote intention in the final week.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Wolumen
$50,870Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA shows the AfD maintaining a narrow lead at 36–38 percent ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 33–34 percent, with the Left near 10 percent and the CDU at 7 percent. This positioning, following the AfD’s stronger result in Saxony-Anhalt the prior week, supports projected seat totals for the AfD in the 28–31 range under Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. Modest SPD gains in the most recent surveys and uncertainty around smaller parties near the five-percent threshold have kept trader consensus centered on that band, with limited movement in overall vote intention in the final week.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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