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icon for Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

icon for Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

$19,768 Wol.

Oct 30, 2023
Polymarket

$19,768 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for <15

<15

$1,940 Wol.

Yes

icon for 15-50

15-50

$2,271 Wol.

No

icon for 51-100

51-100

$6,872 Wol.

No

icon for >100

>100

$8,685 Wol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 15 and 50 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 51 and 100 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of greater than 100 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No".

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$19,768
Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2023
Rynek otwarty
Oct 2, 2023, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 15 and 50 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 51 and 100 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of greater than 100 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No".

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$19,768
Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2023
Rynek otwarty
Oct 2, 2023, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

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Często zadawane pytania

"Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "<15" z 100%, za nim "15-50" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?" wygenerował $19.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Oct 3, 2023. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?" jest "<15" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "15-50" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.