Trader consensus favors incumbent Stephen Lynch at 61% implied probability to win the Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, reflecting his two-decade tenure, name recognition, and historical primary dominance in the safely Democratic district. Challenger Patrick Roath holds 33%, bolstered by strong Q1 2026 fundraising exceeding $600,000—outpacing Lynch's $382,000—and endorsements from David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC in January, College Democrats of Massachusetts, and True North Action Alliance. Roath's March internal poll showed a viable path after voter education on issues like Lynch's lone Democratic no-vote on the ACA. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 24% despite reported ballot disqualification. Candidate forums loom as potential catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Stephen Lynch 60%
Patrick Roath 40%
Andrew Zylberfink 24.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
Stephen Lynch
60%
Patrick Roath
40%
Andrew Zylberfink
24%
Stephen Lynch 60%
Patrick Roath 40%
Andrew Zylberfink 24.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
Stephen Lynch
$2,104 Wol.
60%
Patrick Roath
$0 Wol.
40%
Andrew Zylberfink
$131 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors incumbent Stephen Lynch at 61% implied probability to win the Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, reflecting his two-decade tenure, name recognition, and historical primary dominance in the safely Democratic district. Challenger Patrick Roath holds 33%, bolstered by strong Q1 2026 fundraising exceeding $600,000—outpacing Lynch's $382,000—and endorsements from David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC in January, College Democrats of Massachusetts, and True North Action Alliance. Roath's March internal poll showed a viable path after voter education on issues like Lynch's lone Democratic no-vote on the ACA. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 24% despite reported ballot disqualification. Candidate forums loom as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,235Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors incumbent Stephen Lynch at 61% implied probability to win the Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, reflecting his two-decade tenure, name recognition, and historical primary dominance in the safely Democratic district. Challenger Patrick Roath holds 33%, bolstered by strong Q1 2026 fundraising exceeding $600,000—outpacing Lynch's $382,000—and endorsements from David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC in January, College Democrats of Massachusetts, and True North Action Alliance. Roath's March internal poll showed a viable path after voter education on issues like Lynch's lone Democratic no-vote on the ACA. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 24% despite reported ballot disqualification. Candidate forums loom as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$2,235Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors incumbent Stephen Lynch at 61% implied probability to win the Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, reflecting his two-decade tenure, name recognition, and historical primary dominance in the safely Democratic district. Challenger Patrick Roath holds 33%, bolstered by strong Q1 2026 fundraising exceeding $600,000—outpacing Lynch's $382,000—and endorsements from David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC in January, College Democrats of Massachusetts, and True North Action Alliance. Roath's March internal poll showed a viable path after voter education on issues like Lynch's lone Democratic no-vote on the ACA. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 24% despite reported ballot disqualification. Candidate forums loom as potential catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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